—and whether diplomacy can reassert itself after combat operations conclude. News coverage remains essential for understanding this topic because each development—from military strike reports and casualty assessments to ceasefire signals and nuclear verification disputes—directly shapes the broader situation surrounding conflict escalation, regime stability, and the possibility of future US or Israeli military action against Iran. The ever-present threat of further military action continues to define the regional security environment. Ongoing developments related to Khamenei's health status, signals from the Assembly of Experts, potential protest resurgence, or breakdown in nuclear diplomacy could rapidly alter the political landscape surrounding regime stability and leadership continuity in Iran.
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Briefing
As of late February 2026, US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced meaningful diplomatic activity but no agreement by Iran to end all uranium enrichment — the specific threshold required for a "Yes" resolution. Multiple rounds of indirect talks in Oman and Geneva have yielded incremental progress, with Oman's foreign minister announcing "significant progress" after a third round concluded around February 27, including Iran's agreement not to stockpile enriched uranium or pursue a nuclear weapon. However, Iran has consistently and firmly rejected a complete halt to enrichment, offering instead to reduce enrichment levels (from 60% toward lower thresholds) and dilute stockpiles in exchange for full sanctions relief.
Iran's publicly stated red lines remain intact: senior officials have explicitly rejected transferring enriched uranium abroad, and a senior adviser to Supreme Leader Khamenei described ballistic missiles as a firm red line against inclusion in talks. Iranian President Pezeshkian, while authorizing negotiations, vowed on February 9 that Iran would not yield to outside pressure, and the regime used the 47th Revolution Anniversary to reinforce domestic messaging of resistance. Simultaneously, satellite imagery from mid-February showed Iran sealing tunnel entrances at Isfahan and Natanz — suggesting Tehran was hardening defenses even as diplomacy continued, a posture analysts interpreted as buying time rather than signaling capitulation.
The US position, meanwhile, has demanded permanent and indefinite restrictions with no expiration date, while Israel's Netanyahu outlined conditions including full dismantlement of enrichment infrastructure. The gap between these maximalist demands and Iran's offer of enrichment caps — not elimination — remains substantial. The Trump administration escalated pressure dramatically around February 18–24, issuing a 48-hour ultimatum for Iran to submit a detailed agreement draft, with Axios reporting the US was within days of large-scale military confrontation. Strikes were subsequently reported on February 28, with Iran ordering closure of the Strait of Hormuz — suggesting the diplomatic window may have collapsed rather than produced a deal.
With the March 31 deadline approaching, the trajectory points strongly away from Iran agreeing to end all enrichment. Every Iranian concession offered has involved limiting or capping enrichment, not eliminating it — a distinction that falls short of the resolution criteria. The combination of military escalation, Iran's domestic political constraints, and the wide gap between negotiating positions makes a full Iranian pledge to end enrichment by March 31 appear unlikely based on current reporting.
Evidence (23 stories)
Second Round of US-Iran Nuclear Talks Concludes in Geneva with 'Positive Developments'Feb 15 · 27 news events · 1978 articles
Indirect Iran-U.S. Nuclear Talks Resume in Switzerland This Week1063 articles
واشنطن وطهران تقطعان خطوة نحو اتفاق لا يبدو قريبا196 articles
Iran - Mỹ đạt được 'bộ nguyên tắc' đàm phán93 articles
گزارشی از "پیشرفت خوب" آمریکا و ایران در گفتوگوهای ژنو87 articles
İsviçre'de kritik görüşme: İran Dışişleri Bakanı Erakçi Cenevre'de87 articles
+ 22 more
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Briefing
The question of whether Israel would strike Iran by June 30, 2026 has been definitively answered by events on February 28, 2026. The United States and Israel launched coordinated military strikes on Iran in an operation Israel codenamed "Roaring Lion" and the US designated "Operation Epic Fury," targeting nuclear facilities, military infrastructure, IRGC command posts, air defense systems, and senior leadership across hundreds of targets. Israeli PM Netanyahu declared Israel was reshaping the regional balance of power, while Israeli Chief of Staff Zamir described the campaign as a "major, fateful, and unprecedented battle." Israeli sources confirmed Supreme Leader Khamenei and President Pezeshkian were among designated targets, with Netanyahu subsequently claiming "many signs" Khamenei was dead — a claim Iran denied, with FM Araqchi stating Khamenei was alive and evacuated to a secure location.
The strikes followed weeks of intense military buildup and failed diplomacy. From late January through late February 2026, the US deployed two carrier groups, over 150 combat aircraft, 16 warships, and approximately 40,000 troops to the region. Multiple rounds of indirect nuclear talks in Oman and Geneva produced what was described as "significant progress," including Iran's reported agreement not to stockpile enriched uranium, but core disputes over ballistic missiles and permanent enrichment restrictions proved insurmountable. On approximately February 18, the Trump administration issued a 48-hour ultimatum demanding Iran submit a nuclear agreement draft or face strikes. When no satisfactory response materialized, the military option was executed.
Iran responded with large-scale retaliatory ballistic missile and drone strikes against at least four US military bases across Gulf states — including Bahrain, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, and Kuwait — and launched strikes against Israel, with one person reported killed in Abu Dhabi. Iran's IRGC also ordered the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, though the UK's maritime trade body disputed that the strait was fully closed. Trump stated Iran would need "several years to recover" from the operation and called on Iranian citizens to rebel against the government, while offering IRGC members immunity if they laid down arms.
The resolution criteria for this question — Israeli drones, missiles, or air strikes impacting Iranian soil — were clearly met on February 28, 2026, well within the June 30, 2026 deadline. The strikes were confirmed by multiple credible sources including Israeli and US government statements, CENTCOM operational disclosures, and widespread international media reporting. The subsequent phase of the crisis — including Iran's retaliation, the status of Khamenei, and whether further escalation or diplomacy follows — remains fluid, but the triggering event for resolution has unambiguously occurred.
Evidence (14 stories)
CENTCOM Releases Details and Footage of Operation Epic Fury Targeting IRGC InfrastructureFeb 2 · 5 news events · 100 articles
CENTCOM shares details on Operation Epic Fury63 articles
أهداف الهجوم على إيران21 articles
مسئول أمريكي: 12 سفينة حربية تعزز عملية ترامب ضد إيران6 articles
Paralajmëron Netanyahu: Kushdo që sulmon Izraelin, do të përballet me pasoja të padurueshme5 articles
US targeted IRGC command posts, air defense systems, military airfields in Iran -- CENTCOM5 articles
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Briefing
The question of whether Israel would strike Iran by March 31, 2026 has been definitively answered by events on February 28, 2026. The United States and Israel launched coordinated military strikes against Iran in an operation Israel codenamed "Roaring Lion" and the US designated "Operation Epic Fury." Israeli PM Netanyahu described the campaign as reshaping the regional balance of power, while Israeli Chief of Staff Zamir called it a "major, fateful, and unprecedented battle." Confirmed targets included IRGC command posts, air defense systems, military airfields, nuclear facilities, and senior leadership compounds — with Israeli sources confirming Supreme Leader Khamenei and President Pezeshkian were among designated targets.
The strikes followed weeks of intense military buildup and failed diplomacy. The US had deployed two carrier groups, over 150 combat aircraft, 16 warships, and approximately 40,000 troops to the broader Middle East theater between late January and late February. Multiple rounds of indirect nuclear talks in Oman and Geneva — which had produced what Oman's foreign minister described as "significant progress" — ultimately collapsed after the Trump administration issued a 48-hour ultimatum on approximately February 18, demanding Iran submit a detailed nuclear agreement draft or face military action. Vice President Vance stated Iran had failed to acknowledge core US demands, and Axios reported administration advisers assessed the US was within days of full-scale war.
Iran retaliated swiftly following the February 28 strikes, with the IRGC launching ballistic missile and drone attacks against at least four US military bases across Gulf states — including Bahrain, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, and Kuwait — as well as retaliatory strikes against Israel. One person was reported killed in Abu Dhabi. Iran's IRGC also ordered the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, though the UK's maritime trade body disputed that the strait was fully closed. Netanyahu simultaneously claimed there were "many signs" Khamenei had been killed; Iran's Foreign Ministry denied this, with FM Araqchi confirming Khamenei was alive and evacuated to a secure location.
Key uncertainties now center on the post-strike phase rather than whether a strike occurred. The fate of Supreme Leader Khamenei remains disputed. Iran's conditional offer of diplomatic engagement — contingent on the US ceasing attacks — and Trump's stated expectation of regime change signal sharply divergent visions for what comes next. Whether the conflict escalates further, stabilizes into a ceasefire, or triggers broader regional involvement from Hezbollah or Iran-backed Iraqi factions remains the critical open question as of late February 2026.
Evidence (14 stories)
CENTCOM Releases Details and Footage of Operation Epic Fury Targeting IRGC InfrastructureFeb 2 · 5 news events · 100 articles
CENTCOM shares details on Operation Epic Fury63 articles
أهداف الهجوم على إيران21 articles
مسئول أمريكي: 12 سفينة حربية تعزز عملية ترامب ضد إيران6 articles
Paralajmëron Netanyahu: Kushdo që sulmon Izraelin, do të përballet me pasoja të padurueshme5 articles
US targeted IRGC command posts, air defense systems, military airfields in Iran -- CENTCOM5 articles
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
Briefing
The Israel-Iran ceasefire has been decisively broken — by both parties simultaneously. On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched coordinated military strikes on Iran under the codenames "Operation Roaring Lion" (Israel) and "Operation Epic Fury" (US), targeting nuclear facilities, IRGC command infrastructure, air defense systems, military airfields, and senior leadership including Supreme Leader Khamenei and President Pezeshkian. Israeli PM Netanyahu declared Israel was "reshaping the balance of power," while Israeli Chief of Staff Zamir described the campaign as "major, fateful, and unprecedented." A strike on a school in Minab killed at least 40 people, drawing international condemnation.
Iran retaliated swiftly. The IRGC launched ballistic missile and drone strikes against at least four US military bases across Gulf states — including Bahrain, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, and Kuwait — and confirmed a large-scale retaliatory missile and drone operation against Israel. One person was reported killed in Abu Dhabi. Iran's IRGC also ordered the closure of the Strait of Hormuz to all shipping, though the UK's maritime trade body disputed that the strait was fully closed. Iran's internet was nearly completely disrupted amid the strikes, and Iran-backed groups including Kata'ib Hezbollah warned of a "long war."
The strikes followed weeks of escalating military posturing and failed diplomacy. Multiple rounds of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva — facilitated by Oman — had produced what was described as "significant progress" as recently as late February, including Iran's reported agreement not to stockpile enriched uranium. However, the Trump administration's 48-hour ultimatum issued around February 18, demanding Iran submit a detailed nuclear agreement draft or face strikes, collapsed the diplomatic track. Vice President Vance had stated Iran failed to acknowledge core US demands, and Axios reported US advisers assessed the military buildup was "not a bluff."
Key uncertainties now center on the fate of Supreme Leader Khamenei — Netanyahu claimed "many signs" of his death, while Iranian FM Araqchi confirmed in an NBC interview that Khamenei was alive and evacuated to a secure location. Trump publicly called for regime change and offered IRGC members immunity if they laid down arms, framing the operation as aimed at freeing the Iranian people. Whether Iran can mount a sustained retaliatory campaign, whether Hezbollah expands its involvement beyond its stated restraint, and whether the Strait of Hormuz closure holds are the critical variables shaping the next phase of this conflict.
Evidence (11 stories)
CENTCOM Releases Details and Footage of Operation Epic Fury Targeting IRGC InfrastructureFeb 2 · 5 news events · 100 articles
CENTCOM shares details on Operation Epic Fury63 articles
أهداف الهجوم على إيران21 articles
مسئول أمريكي: 12 سفينة حربية تعزز عملية ترامب ضد إيران6 articles
Paralajmëron Netanyahu: Kushdo që sulmon Izraelin, do të përballet me pasoja të padurueshme5 articles
US targeted IRGC command posts, air defense systems, military airfields in Iran -- CENTCOM5 articles
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Briefing
The question of whether Ali Khamenei will be removed from power by June 30, 2026 has moved from theoretical to acutely live following the joint US-Israeli military operation on February 28, 2026. Operation Roaring Lion/Epic Fury involved coordinated strikes on hundreds of targets across Iran, explicitly including Khamenei's compound and senior leadership gatherings. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu subsequently stated there were "many signs" Khamenei was dead — a claim Iran's Foreign Ministry directly denied, with Foreign Minister Araqchi confirming in an NBC interview that Khamenei was alive and had been evacuated to a secure location.
Prior to the strikes, multiple signals had already raised questions about Khamenei's grip on power. In late January and February 2026, he missed a key annual military gathering for the first time in 37 years, fueling health speculation. The New York Times reported he had passed succession instructions to close associates and designated four potential successors. A Saudi-owned outlet reported an alleged internal soft coup attempt had been uncovered. Meanwhile, mass protests following a brutal January crackdown — in which activists reported over 7,000 killed — saw crowds chanting directly against Khamenei at 40-day mourning marches in mid-February, and university protests resumed at major Tehran institutions.
The trajectory as of late February points toward maximum pressure on Khamenei's position, but significant uncertainty remains about his actual status and the regime's resilience. Iran's institutional structure appears to be functioning: Foreign Minister Araqchi was publicly active post-strikes, President Pezeshkian remained visible, and the CIA had assessed ahead of the operation that even Khamenei's death would likely result in IRGC assumption of control rather than regime collapse. Trump publicly called on Iranians to rebel and offered IRGC members immunity if they laid down arms — suggesting the US is actively seeking regime change — but Iranian officials dismissed this as "an impossible mission."
Key uncertainties include Khamenei's true physical condition and whereabouts, whether the IRGC's loyalty holds under sustained military pressure, and whether the protest movement can reconstitute itself in the aftermath of the strikes. The four-month window remaining until June 30 is substantial given the pace of developments, but the regime has demonstrated considerable durability even under extreme stress. The most credible near-term scenario for resolution would hinge on either a verified confirmation of Khamenei's incapacitation or death, or a collapse of IRGC cohesion — neither of which has been confirmed as of the latest reporting.
Evidence (7 stories)
CENTCOM Releases Details and Footage of Operation Epic Fury Targeting IRGC InfrastructureFeb 2 · 5 news events · 100 articles
CENTCOM shares details on Operation Epic Fury63 articles
أهداف الهجوم على إيران21 articles
مسئول أمريكي: 12 سفينة حربية تعزز عملية ترامب ضد إيران6 articles
Paralajmëron Netanyahu: Kushdo që sulmon Izraelin, do të përballet me pasoja të padurueshme5 articles
US targeted IRGC command posts, air defense systems, military airfields in Iran -- CENTCOM5 articles
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Briefing
The question of whether Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei will be removed from power by March 31, 2026 has moved from theoretical to acutely urgent following the joint US-Israeli military strikes launched on February 28, 2026. Operation Roaring Lion/Epic Fury explicitly targeted Khamenei's compound in Tehran, and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly stated there were "many signs" Khamenei was dead. Iran's Foreign Ministry and Foreign Minister Araqchi denied this, confirming in an NBC interview that Khamenei was alive and had been evacuated to a secure location — though these claims remain unverified by independent sources.
Prior to the strikes, a series of signals had already raised questions about Khamenei's grip on power. He missed a key annual military gathering for the first time in 37 years, fueling health speculation, while the New York Times reported he had passed succession instructions to close associates and designated four potential successors. A Saudi-owned outlet also reported an alleged internal soft coup attempt had been uncovered. Domestically, the regime faced its most severe internal pressure in years: at least 7,000 people were reported killed in a January crackdown on protests, students resumed demonstrations at major universities in mid-February, and mourning marches on February 14 featured crowds openly chanting for Khamenei's death.
As of February 28, the situation remains deeply uncertain. Iran insists Khamenei is alive and governing from a secure location, with FM Araqchi calling regime change "an impossible mission." The CIA had assessed ahead of the strikes that even if Khamenei were killed, the IRGC — not opposition forces — would assume control, suggesting institutional continuity rather than collapse. President Trump, however, explicitly called for Iranian citizens to rebel and offered IRGC members immunity if they deposed their weapons, framing the operation as aimed at regime change. Ali Shamkhani, appointed Defense Council secretary during the crisis, has emerged as a key operational figure, indicating the regime retains functional leadership capacity even amid the strikes.
The critical unknowns are Khamenei's actual physical condition and whereabouts, whether the strikes have degraded the IRGC's capacity to maintain internal order, and whether the combination of military pressure and domestic unrest could produce a leadership rupture in the roughly one month remaining before the March 31 deadline. The conflicting signals — Iran's categorical denials versus Israel's claims and Khamenei's conspicuous absence from public view — make this one of the most consequential and unresolved questions in the current crisis.
Evidence (11 stories)
CENTCOM Releases Details and Footage of Operation Epic Fury Targeting IRGC InfrastructureFeb 2 · 5 news events · 100 articles
CENTCOM shares details on Operation Epic Fury63 articles
أهداف الهجوم على إيران21 articles
مسئول أمريكي: 12 سفينة حربية تعزز عملية ترامب ضد إيران6 articles
Paralajmëron Netanyahu: Kushdo që sulmon Izraelin, do të përballet me pasoja të padurueshme5 articles
US targeted IRGC command posts, air defense systems, military airfields in Iran -- CENTCOM5 articles
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Briefing
The question of whether Ali Khamenei will be removed from power by end of 2026 has moved from theoretical to acutely live following the dramatic events of late February. On February 28, the United States and Israel launched coordinated strikes — Operation Epic Fury / Operation Roaring Lion — that explicitly targeted senior Iranian leadership, including Khamenei's compound. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu subsequently stated there were "many signs" Khamenei was dead. Iran's Foreign Ministry denied this, with Foreign Minister Araqchi confirming in an NBC interview that Khamenei was alive and had been evacuated to a secure location. As of the latest reporting, Khamenei's status remains unverified by independent sources, creating significant uncertainty about whether he is actively fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader.
Prior to the strikes, multiple signals pointed to a leader under mounting pressure but still in control. Khamenei missed a key annual military gathering for the first time in 37 years in late January, fueling health speculation, though he subsequently delivered televised messages. The New York Times reported he had passed succession instructions to close associates and designated four potential successors — suggesting contingency planning was already underway. Domestically, the regime faced its most severe internal stress in years: activists reported over 7,000 killed in the January protest crackdown, reformist politicians were arrested, and by mid-February students at major universities and mourning crowds were openly chanting for Khamenei's death. A Saudi-owned outlet also reported an alleged internal soft coup attempt had been uncovered before the January unrest.
The trajectory as of February 28 points toward maximum uncertainty. President Trump publicly called on Iranians to rebel, offered IRGC members immunity if they laid down arms, and stated he expected a change of power in Iran. The CIA, however, assessed that even if Khamenei were killed, the IRGC would assume control rather than the regime collapsing — a finding echoed by Secretary of State Rubio, who noted "no one knows" who would take over. Iran's Foreign Minister dismissed regime change as "an impossible mission," and the institutional structures of the IRGC and hardline factions remain intact.
The key uncertainties are substantial: Khamenei's actual physical condition and operational capacity have not been independently confirmed since the strikes; whether the IRGC would consolidate power or fracture under sustained military pressure is unknown; and whether domestic protest movements could translate into a genuine power transfer remains deeply unclear. The coming days and weeks of reporting will be critical in determining whether Khamenei has been functionally removed from his duties or whether the regime has successfully weathered the most direct external assault in its history.
Evidence (8 stories)
CENTCOM Releases Details and Footage of Operation Epic Fury Targeting IRGC InfrastructureFeb 2 · 5 news events · 100 articles
CENTCOM shares details on Operation Epic Fury63 articles
أهداف الهجوم على إيران21 articles
مسئول أمريكي: 12 سفينة حربية تعزز عملية ترامب ضد إيران6 articles
Paralajmëron Netanyahu: Kushdo që sulmon Izraelin, do të përballet me pasoja të padurueshme5 articles
US targeted IRGC command posts, air defense systems, military airfields in Iran -- CENTCOM5 articles
US forces enter Iran by..?
Briefing
The central question is whether active US military personnel have physically entered Iranian terrestrial territory. As of the available reporting through February 28, 2026, there is no confirmed credible reporting of US ground forces or special operations personnel entering Iran's terrestrial territory. The US-Israeli operation launched on February 28 — codenamed "Operation Epic Fury" by CENTCOM and "Roaring Lion" by Israel — was an air and missile strike campaign targeting nuclear facilities, IRGC command posts, air defense systems, and military airfields, as well as leadership compounds. All confirmed US military action has taken the form of aerial bombardment, not ground incursion.
The most relevant development bearing on this question is the January 30 – February 13 reporting that Trump was presented with military options including covert special forces raids deep inside Iranian territory, as reported by the New York Times. This confirmed that ground-entry options were at least on the planning table. However, the operation that ultimately launched on February 28 appears to have proceeded as an air campaign, with no reporting indicating special operations forces accompanied or followed the strikes into Iranian territory. The US also evacuated hundreds of military personnel from Qatar and Bahrain bases ahead of the operation, suggesting a posture focused on force protection rather than ground insertion.
The direction of events does not currently point toward an imminent ground entry. Iran's retaliatory strikes against US bases across Gulf states on or around February 28 have heightened the risk of further escalation, and Trump's offer of immunity to IRGC members and calls for regime change suggest the administration is pursuing psychological pressure rather than a ground campaign. Iranian FM Araqchi's conditional offer to resume diplomacy if strikes ceased also suggests the conflict remains in an air-strike-and-retaliation phase rather than transitioning to ground operations.
Key uncertainties remain significant. The fate of Supreme Leader Khamenei is disputed — Netanyahu claimed signs of his death while Iran denied this — and a leadership vacuum could theoretically prompt unconventional US or allied ground action. The NYT-reported special forces raid options have not been publicly ruled out, and the fog of an active conflict makes real-time verification difficult. Any covert special operations entry, if it occurred, would likely not be confirmed immediately through open-source reporting. The resolution criteria explicitly exclude intelligence operatives, so only confirmed military personnel physically entering Iranian territory would qualify.
Evidence (6 stories)
US Air Force Orders New GBU-57 Bunker Buster Bombs Amid Iran TensionsFeb 13 · 1 news events · 11 articles
US Air Force orders new GBU-57 bunker buster bombs amid tensions with Iran11 articles
NYT Reports Trump Considering Commando Raids Deep Inside IranJan 30 · 3 news events · 17 articles
عملية "كوماندوز" سرية ضد إيران.. خيارات ترامب العسكرية7 articles
NYT назвала наиболее рискованный вариант операции США против Ирана
US next strikes Iran on...?
Briefing
The central question of whether and when the US would strike Iranian soil was answered on February 28, 2026, when the United States and Israel launched coordinated military strikes on Iran in an operation the US designated "Operation Epic Fury" and Israel codenamed "Operation Roaring Lion." CENTCOM confirmed strikes on IRGC command posts, air defense systems, and military airfields, alongside Israeli targeting of nuclear facilities and senior leadership. President Trump subsequently stated that Iran would need "several years to recover" from the operation, and offered IRGC members total immunity if they laid down arms — language analysts interpreted as framing the strikes as a regime-change effort.
The strikes followed weeks of intense military buildup and failed diplomacy. From late January onward, the US deployed two carrier strike groups, over 150 combat aircraft, 16 warships, and approximately 40,000 troops to the broader Middle East theater. Three rounds of indirect nuclear talks in Oman and Geneva produced what mediators described as "significant progress," including Iran's reported agreement not to stockpile enriched uranium, but collapsed over core disputes — particularly Iran's refusal to include ballistic missiles in negotiations, which Secretary Rubio had flagged as a "major problem." On approximately February 18, the Trump administration issued Iran a 48-hour ultimatum to submit a nuclear agreement draft or face strikes; when no satisfactory response materialized, the military option was executed.
Iran retaliated swiftly. The IRGC launched ballistic missile and drone strikes against at least four US military bases across Gulf states — including Bahrain, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, and Kuwait — and conducted a large-scale missile and drone operation against Israel, with one person reported killed in Abu Dhabi. Iran's IRGC also ordered the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, though the UK's maritime trade body disputed that the strait was fully closed. Israeli PM Netanyahu claimed there were "many signs" Supreme Leader Khamenei had been killed in strikes on his compound; Iran's Foreign Ministry denied this, with FM Araqchi confirming Khamenei was alive and evacuated to a secure location.
The key uncertainties now center on whether the conflict will escalate further or whether Iran's conditional offer to engage diplomatically — contingent on the US ceasing attacks — opens a path to de-escalation. Iran's internet was nearly completely disrupted amid the strikes, complicating independent verification of conditions on the ground. The status of Khamenei remains unconfirmed by independent sources, and the CIA had previously assessed that even his death would result in IRGC consolidation of power rather than regime collapse. Whether the US conducts additional strikes beyond February 28 remains the defining open question for the remainder of the market window.
Evidence (14 stories)
CENTCOM Releases Details and Footage of Operation Epic Fury Targeting IRGC InfrastructureFeb 2 · 5 news events · 100 articles
CENTCOM shares details on Operation Epic Fury63 articles
أهداف الهجوم على إيران21 articles
مسئول أمريكي: 12 سفينة حربية تعزز عملية ترامب ضد إيران6 articles
Paralajmëron Netanyahu: Kushdo që sulmon Izraelin, do të përballet me pasoja të padurueshme5 articles
US targeted IRGC command posts, air defense systems, military airfields in Iran -- CENTCOM5 articles
US strikes Iran by...?
Briefing
The central question of whether the US has initiated direct strikes on Iranian soil has been definitively answered by events on February 28, 2026. The United States and Israel launched coordinated military strikes against Iran in an operation the US designated "Operation Epic Fury" and Israel codenamed "Operation Roaring Lion." CENTCOM confirmed strikes on IRGC command posts, air defense systems, and military airfields across hundreds of targets, including a strike on a school in Minab that killed at least 40 people. President Trump subsequently stated that Iran would need "several years to recover" from the operation, and publicly called on Iranian citizens to rebel against the government while offering IRGC members total immunity if they laid down arms.
The strikes followed weeks of intensive military buildup and failed diplomacy. From late January onward, the US deployed two aircraft carrier groups, over 150 combat aircraft, 16 warships, and approximately 40,000 troops to the broader Middle East theater. Multiple rounds of indirect nuclear talks in Oman and Geneva produced what mediators described as "significant progress," including Iran's reported agreement not to stockpile enriched uranium, but negotiations collapsed after the Trump administration issued a 48-hour ultimatum on approximately February 18 demanding Iran submit a detailed nuclear agreement draft or face military action. Vice President Vance stated Iran had failed to acknowledge core US demands, and Axios reported administration advisers described the military buildup as not a bluff.
Iran retaliated swiftly, with the IRGC launching ballistic missile and drone strikes against at least four US military bases across Gulf states — including Bahrain, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, and Kuwait — as well as against Israel. One person was reported killed in Abu Dhabi. Iran also ordered the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, though the UK's maritime trade body disputed that the strait was fully closed. Israeli PM Netanyahu claimed there were "many signs" Supreme Leader Khamenei had been killed in strikes on his compound; Iran's Foreign Ministry denied this, with FM Araqchi confirming in an NBC interview that Khamenei was alive and had been evacuated to a secure location.
The key remaining uncertainties center on the scope of further US military action, Iran's retaliatory capacity, and whether any diplomatic off-ramp remains viable. Iranian FM Araqchi extended a conditional offer to resume talks if US strikes ceased, while Trump indicated he had multiple "exits" available. Whether the operation remains limited or escalates into a sustained campaign will depend heavily on Iranian retaliation and the coherence of the Iranian government's response in the coming days.
Evidence (11 stories)
CENTCOM Releases Details and Footage of Operation Epic Fury Targeting IRGC InfrastructureFeb 2 · 5 news events · 100 articles
CENTCOM shares details on Operation Epic Fury63 articles
أهداف الهجوم على إيران21 articles
مسئول أمريكي: 12 سفينة حربية تعزز عملية ترامب ضد إيران6 articles
Paralajmëron Netanyahu: Kushdo që sulmon Izraelin, do të përballet me pasoja të padurueshme5 articles
US targeted IRGC command posts, air defense systems, military airfields in Iran -- CENTCOM5 articles
Briefing
This briefing summarizes the most important developments in the timeline below so you can understand the state of the topic group at a glance.
The Iran crisis has entered a dramatically new and dangerous phase. On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched coordinated military strikes against Iran in what Israel codenamed "Operation Roaring Lion" and CENTCOM designated "Operation Epic Fury," targeting nuclear facilities, IRGC command infrastructure, air defense systems, and senior leadership compounds across hundreds of sites. The operation marked the most significant direct military confrontation between the US-Israeli alliance and Iran in history, and its aftermath—spanning questions of regime survival, nuclear program status, Strait of Hormuz access, and the fate of Supreme Leader Khamenei—now defines the regional security environment.
The path to February 28 was shaped by a compressed but intense diplomatic-military dual track that ultimately failed to produce an agreement. Beginning in late January, Iranian President Pezeshkian authorized Foreign Minister Araqchi to engage in indirect nuclear talks with US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, facilitated through Oman. Three rounds of talks—in Muscat and Geneva—produced incremental signals of Iranian flexibility, including offers to reduce enrichment levels from 60% and limit stockpiles, but collapsed over irreconcilable gaps. The Trump administration demanded permanent, indefinite restrictions with no sunset clause, and Secretary Rubio flagged Iran's refusal to include ballistic missiles as a "major problem." Iran's senior adviser Ali Shamkhani called missiles a firm red line, and Turkish Foreign Minister Fidan warned that expanding the scope to include missiles risked triggering war. By February 18, the Trump administration issued a 48-hour ultimatum demanding a detailed draft agreement or face strikes, and multiple international outlets assessed the probability of military action at near-certainty. The Geneva talks framework, despite Oman's announcement of "significant progress" after the third round, could not bridge the structural gap: Iranian officials privately assessed that surrendering to US demands posed a greater existential threat to regime survival than military confrontation itself.
The military dimension had been building in parallel throughout the period. The US deployed two carrier strike groups—the USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald R. Ford—to the Mediterranean and Middle East alongside more than 150 combat aircraft, 16 warships, and approximately 40,000 troops, representing one of the largest US regional force postures in recent memory. Satellite imagery confirmed a surge of US support aircraft at a Saudi airbase, and the US evacuated hundreds of military personnel from Qatar and Bahrain bases in anticipation of Iranian retaliation. Iran responded with its own escalatory signaling: IRGC naval forces conducted live-fire drills in the Strait of Hormuz, unveiled new mine-laying tactics and underground anti-ship missile facilities, deployed the advanced Khorramshahr-4 ballistic missile to operational status, and sealed tunnel entrances at Isfahan and Natanz nuclear sites. Supreme Leader Khamenei threatened to send US carriers to the "bottom of the sea," while Iran's Chief of Staff announced a shift from defensive to offensive military doctrine. Iranian gunboats attempted to intercept a US-flagged tanker, and a US F-35C shot down an Iranian Shahed drone that approached the Abraham Lincoln—incidents that underscored how close the two sides were to direct kinetic exchange even before the formal strikes began.
Evidence (188 stories)
Axios: Trump Administration Within Days of 'Full-Scale War' with Iran, Advisers Not BluffingFeb 18 · 4 news events · 110 articles
أكسيوس: ترامب يقترب من حرب كبرى مع إيران63 articles
EUA se aproximam de "guerra total" contra o Irã que pode começar em "dias", diz site19 articles
Stallo nel dialogo con l'Iran. 'Trump pronto alla guerra' - Medio Oriente - Ansa.it18 articles
Трамп приближается к большой войне с Ираном -- Axios10 articles
Timeline
Trump Says Iran Will Take 'Years to Recover'; Offers IRGC Immunity
President Trump stated Iran would need several years to recover from Operation Epic Fury and offered IRGC members total immunity if they laid down arms, framing the strikes as aimed at freeing the Iranian people.
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President Trump stated in an interview with Axios that Iran would need several years to recover from Operation Epic Fury and that he had multiple 'exits' from the operation available to him. Trump publicly called on Iranian citizens to rebel against the ayatollah government and offered IRGC members 'total immunity' if they deposed their weapons, framing the strikes as aimed at regime change. Trump stated he expected a change of power in Iran following the military operations. Iranian FM Araqchi responded that regime change was 'an impossible mission' and extended a conditional offer to engage diplomatically if the US ceased its attacks.
Israeli PM Netanyahu stated there were 'many signs' Khamenei was dead following strikes on his compound; Iran's Foreign Ministry denied the claim, saying Khamenei was alive and evacuated to a secure location.
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Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu stated there were 'many signs' that Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was dead following joint US-Israeli strikes on his compound in Tehran. Iran's Foreign Ministry and Iranian state media denied the claim, with Foreign Minister Araqchi confirming in an NBC interview that Khamenei was alive and that regime change was 'an impossible mission.' A member of Tehran's city council separately reported that Khamenei's son-in-law and daughter-in-law were killed in the strikes, a claim that was not independently verified. The CIA had assessed ahead of the strikes that even if Khamenei were killed, the IRGC would assume control rather than the regime collapsing.
Underlying stories (4)
Trump Issues 48-Hour Ultimatum to Iran; Axios Warns of Imminent Full-Scale War
The Trump administration gave Iran approximately 48 hours to submit a nuclear agreement draft or face military strikes, as Axios reported the US was closer to large-scale confrontation with Iran than most Americans realized.
324 articles
The Trump administration gave Iran approximately 48 hours to submit a detailed nuclear agreement draft, warning that military strikes would follow if no proposal was received. A new round of Geneva talks was offered for Friday, February 27, contingent on Iran's response. Axios reported that Trump administration advisers indicated the military buildup was not a bluff and that the US was within days of a 'full-scale war' with Iran. Multiple international outlets cited the report, with some estimating a 90% probability of strikes. Vice President Vance stated Iran had failed to acknowledge core American demands during the Geneva talks, while Iran's deputy foreign minister warned at the UN Conference on Disarmament that any strike would be considered an act of aggression.
February 18 – 24, 2026
Underlying stories (6)
Iran Retaliates: Strikes US Bases, Gulf States, and Israel with Missiles
Iran's IRGC launched ballistic missile and drone strikes against at least four US military bases across Gulf states and against Israel, with one person killed in Abu Dhabi and explosions reported at multiple locations.
35 articles
Iran's IRGC launched ballistic missile strikes against at least four US military bases across Gulf states including Bahrain, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, and Kuwait in retaliation for the US-Israeli operation. Iran also launched retaliatory missile strikes against Gulf Arab states including the UAE, Kuwait, and Qatar, with one person reported killed in Abu Dhabi. The IRGC confirmed launching a large-scale retaliatory missile and drone operation against Israel and reported striking a US radar installation in Qatar. Trump publicly called on Iranian citizens to rebel against the government and offered IRGC members 'total immunity' if they laid down arms. Iran also struck four US military bases in the Middle East, and Iran's internet was nearly completely disrupted amid the strikes.
February 16 – 28, 2026
Underlying stories (6)
Protests Resume at Iranian Universities; Mourning Marches Chant Against Khamenei
Students at several Iranian universities staged anti-government demonstrations, while families gathered across Iran for 40-day mourning ceremonies for killed protesters, with crowds chanting against Khamenei.
111 articles
Students at several Iranian universities held anti-government demonstrations described as the first protests of significant scale since the January crackdown, with protests at Tehran University, Sharif University of Technology, Amirkabir, and Beheshti. Families and citizens across Iran simultaneously gathered to mark the 40-day mourning period for protesters killed during the crackdown, with crowds in multiple cities chanting slogans calling for the death of Supreme Leader Khamenei. Reza Pahlavi's call for a 'day of action' on February 14 also triggered protests in Tehran and several other Iranian cities, with large solidarity rallies held in Los Angeles, San Diego, and Toronto.
February 14 – 22, 2026
Underlying stories (4)
IAEA Warns 'Not Much Time' Left; Inspections Remain Severely Curtailed
IAEA Director General Grossi warned there was 'not much time' remaining for Iran nuclear diplomacy to succeed, noting that a new inspections agreement was 'possible but terribly difficult' following the 2025 Twelve-Day War.
42 articles
IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi warned after the second round of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks that there was 'not much time' remaining for diplomacy to succeed. Grossi separately stated that a new inspections agreement with Iran was possible but 'terribly difficult' following the June 2025 Twelve-Day War, noting the nuclear landscape had 'changed radically.' Inspectors had returned to Iran but damaged facilities remained off limits. Grossi met with Iranian FM Araqchi and announced the conclusion of technical discussions on Iran's nuclear program ahead of the Geneva talks. Satellite images showed Iran sealing nuclear site entrances, with analysts suggesting Tehran feared an imminent strike.
February 13 – 18, 2026
Underlying stories (4)
US Congress Moves to Invoke War Powers Act Over Iran Strike Authority
Representative Ro Khanna announced plans to force a War Powers Act resolution vote to restrain presidential authority over potential military action against Iran, reflecting growing congressional concern.
22 articles
Representative Ro Khanna announced plans to force a War Powers Act resolution vote to restrain President Trump's unilateral decision-making authority over potential military action against Iran. The move reflected growing congressional concern over the administration's Iran posture. Separately, Trump's top general, Joint Chiefs Chairman Dan Caine, briefed the president that a military campaign against Iran could carry significant risks, urging caution, while the Pentagon was reported to harbor doubts about the viability of military action.
February 12 – 23, 2026
Underlying stories (3)
Iran-Israel Mutual Assassination Target Lists Published
Iran's state broadcaster published a list of seven senior Israeli officials designated as 'legitimate targets,' while Israel reportedly circulated a corresponding list of Iranian figures, marking a further escalation in the covert conflict.
12 articles
Iran's state broadcaster published a list of seven senior Israeli officials designated as legitimate targets, including Prime Minister Netanyahu and Mossad chief David Barnea. Israel reportedly circulated a corresponding list of Iranian figures. Iranian television network Ofogh separately broadcast a 'death list' targeting Netanyahu and other senior Israeli officials. The exchange of assassination target lists marked a further escalation in the covert conflict between the two countries as military confrontation loomed.
February 12 – 13, 2026
Underlying stories (2)
Iran and Israel Publish Mutual Assassination Target ListsFeb 13 · 1 news events · 7 articles
Iran Fortifies Nuclear Sites, Seals Tunnels as Strike Fears Mount
Satellite imagery showed Iran reinforcing nuclear facilities and sealing tunnel entrances at Isfahan and Natanz, with analysts suggesting Tehran feared an imminent military strike.
296 articles
Satellite imagery showed Iran sealing all tunnel entrances at its Isfahan nuclear site, with analysts noting the move mirrored actions taken before previous Israeli operations. Additional imagery revealed Iran reinforcing tunnel entrances near Natanz and other nuclear facilities. CNN and other outlets reported Iran was simultaneously fortifying military installations as the US expanded its regional presence. Iran also conducted a missile test with a NOTAM issued over its southern airspace, and IRGC forces launched combined military exercises in southern Iran and Persian Gulf islands. Analysts said Iran appeared to be using diplomatic talks to buy time for hardening its defenses.
February 10 – 24, 2026
Underlying stories (6)
Second and Third Geneva Nuclear Talks Yield 'Significant Progress'
Multiple rounds of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva produced what Oman's foreign minister described as 'significant progress,' including Iran's agreement not to stockpile enriched uranium or pursue a nuclear weapon.
2599 articles
A second round of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva concluded with Iranian FM Araqchi describing 'positive developments' and agreement on general guiding principles, though significant gaps remained. Trump said within ten days it would be clear whether a deal was possible. A third round concluded with Oman's foreign minister announcing 'significant progress,' including Iran's agreement not to stockpile enriched uranium or pursue a nuclear weapon. Iranian President Pezeshkian reaffirmed Iran's commitment to Khamenei's fatwa against nuclear weapons. The IAEA chief praised 'steps forward' following the Geneva talks, while also warning there was 'not much time' remaining for diplomacy to succeed.
February 9 – 27, 2026
Underlying stories (6)
Iran Marks 47th Revolution Anniversary Amid US Military Pressure
Iran held state-organized rallies marking the 47th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, with President Pezeshkian vowing Iran would not yield to US demands even as nuclear negotiations continued.
247 articles
Khamenei called on Iranians to demonstrate unity and participate in nationwide marches, warning of regional war risks. President Pezeshkian vowed the Islamic Republic would not bow to outside pressure, while officials used the occasion to ratchet up anti-US messaging. Khamenei granted pardons to over 2,000 prisoners on the anniversary but explicitly excluded protesters arrested during recent unrest. An Iranian state television reporter caused a major incident by accidentally saying 'Death to Khamenei' during a live broadcast, leading to the firing of the regional IRIB head. Iran's Foreign Ministry accused the Trump administration of using systematic propaganda, comparing US messaging tactics to those of Nazi Germany.
February 9 – 25, 2026
Underlying stories (6)
Khamenei Calls for National Unity and Mass Marches Ahead of Revolution Anniversary
Netanyahu Visits Washington, Sets Conditions for Iran Nuclear Deal
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu traveled to Washington for meetings with Trump, outlining Israel's conditions for any acceptable nuclear deal including full dismantlement of enrichment capacity and a 300-kilometer missile range limit.
1606 articles
Netanyahu accelerated his planned Washington visit to discuss Iran strategy with Trump, pressing for inclusion of ballistic missile restrictions and an end to Iranian support for its regional proxy network in any nuclear deal. Netanyahu publicly outlined three conditions: removal of all enriched uranium from Iran, full dismantlement of uranium enrichment infrastructure, and a 300-kilometer limit on Iranian ballistic missile range. Reports indicated Trump and Netanyahu agreed to intensify economic pressure and sanctions on Iran alongside diplomacy. Netanyahu also warned that Israel was prepared to strike Iran far harder than during the Twelve-Day War, and CBS reported Trump had given Netanyahu a green light to strike Iran's ballistic missile program.
February 3 – 16, 2026
Underlying stories (8)
US and Israel Launch Joint Strikes on Iran in Operation Roaring Lion
The United States and Israel launched coordinated military strikes on Iran on February 28, targeting nuclear facilities, military infrastructure, and senior leadership in an operation Israel codenamed 'Roaring Lion.'
100 articles
The United States and Israel launched coordinated military strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear facilities, military infrastructure, and senior leadership gatherings across hundreds of targets. Israel codenamed the operation 'Roaring Lion' while CENTCOM released details of 'Operation Epic Fury,' confirming strikes on IRGC command posts, air defense systems, and military airfields. Israeli PM Netanyahu declared Israel was reshaping the balance of power in the region, while Israeli Chief of Staff Zamir described the campaign as a 'major, fateful, and unprecedented battle.' Israeli sources confirmed Supreme Leader Khamenei and President Pezeshkian were among designated targets. A strike on a school in Minab killed at least 40 people including children, drawing international condemnation.
February 2 – 28, 2026
Underlying stories (6)
Iran Signals Nuclear Flexibility; Offers Enrichment Concessions for Sanctions Relief
Iranian officials signaled willingness to reduce uranium enrichment levels and make concessions on stockpiles in exchange for full sanctions relief, while firmly rejecting a complete halt to enrichment or transfer of uranium abroad.
1025 articles
Iran's atomic energy chief indicated Tehran could reduce its enrichment level from 60% if all sanctions were lifted, while senior adviser Shamkhani said Iran could dilute its stockpile to 20% purity but rejected any transfer of enriched uranium to foreign countries. Iranian officials told the New York Times that Tehran was prepared to suspend or scale back its nuclear program to avoid military strikes. Iran's deputy foreign minister indicated willingness to make concessions on highly enriched uranium stockpiles ahead of Geneva talks, and Iran also offered expanded economic cooperation including energy, mining, and aviation deals as part of a broader framework. Russia's Kremlin reaffirmed readiness to accept enriched uranium from Iran as a de-escalation measure.
February 2 – 22, 2026
Underlying stories (12)
Iran Rejects Transfer of Enriched Uranium Abroad as Non-Starter in Nuclear Talks
Iranian authorities arrested prominent reformist politicians on charges of links to the US and Israel, while state media released a record number of forced televised confessions from detained protesters.
189 articles
Iranian authorities including the IRGC arrested several prominent reformist figures, including the spokesperson of the main reformist coalition Javad Imam, on charges of attempting to disrupt political and social order and working for the benefit of the US and Israel. Iran's Reformist Front issued a statement condemning the detentions. State media simultaneously released a record number of forced televised confessions from detained protesters, raising fears of imminent executions. A 26-year-old man who had been sentenced to death for propaganda against the state and was widely believed to have been executed was released on bail in a surprise development.
February 1 – 14, 2026
Underlying stories (4)
First Round of US-Iran Nuclear Talks in Oman Concludes
The first round of indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations held in Muscat, Oman concluded with both sides agreeing to hold further talks, with Trump describing the outcome as successful.
890 articles
Indirect US-Iran nuclear talks were held in Muscat, Oman, with both delegations agreeing to continue negotiations. Trump described the outcome as successful and said Iran was eager for a deal, while Iran's foreign ministry confirmed the format would remain unchanged for subsequent rounds. US envoys Witkoff and Kushner subsequently visited the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier, a deliberate signal combining diplomatic engagement with a show of military force. CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper joined the US negotiating team, an unusual deployment of a senior military commander to a diplomatic setting. Iran's top security official Larijani also traveled to Oman as back-channel engagement continued.
February 1 – 9, 2026
Underlying stories (4)
First Round of US-Iran Nuclear Talks in Oman Concludes, Further Talks AgreedFeb 1 · 13 news events · 753 articles
Oscar-Nominated Iranian Filmmaker Arrested After Signing Anti-Khamenei Statement
The co-screenwriter of the Oscar-nominated Iranian film 'It Was Just an Accident' was arrested in Iran after signing a statement condemning Supreme Leader Khamenei.
145 articles
The co-screenwriter of the Oscar-nominated Iranian film 'It Was Just an Accident' was arrested in Iran after signing a statement condemning Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The arrest drew international attention to Iran's crackdown on cultural figures amid political tensions and the broader US-Iran standoff.
February 1 – 2, 2026
Underlying stories (1)
Co-Writer of Oscar-Nominated Iranian Film 'It Was Just an Accident' Arrested After Signing Anti-Khamenei StatementFeb 1 · 7 news events · 145 articles
The co-screenwriter of the Oscar-nominated Iranian film 'It Was Just an Accident' was arrested in Iran after signing a statement condemning Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The arrest drew international attention to Iran's crackdown on cultural figures amid political tensions.
Iranian Gunboats Approach US Tanker; US Shoots Down Iranian Drone
Iranian IRGC gunboats attempted to intercept a US-flagged tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, while a US fighter jet shot down an Iranian Shahed drone that aggressively approached the USS Abraham Lincoln.
1157 articles
Six small armed Iranian Revolutionary Guard boats approached and attempted to intercept the US-flagged tanker Stena Imperative as it transited the Strait of Hormuz, with Iranian state media claiming the vessel had entered Iranian waters illegally. Separately, a US F-35C shot down an Iranian Shahed-139 drone in the Arabian Sea after it aggressively approached the USS Abraham Lincoln approximately 800 kilometers from the Iranian coast. A second US F-35 also shot down an Iranian Shahed drone over the Middle East in a separate incident. The IRGC simultaneously seized two foreign oil tankers in the Persian Gulf, accusing them of fuel smuggling, with fifteen crew members handed over to Iranian authorities.
Jan 31 – Feb 5, 2026
Underlying stories (5)
Explosion at Bandar Abbas Port Amid Heightened Tensions
An explosion struck a building in the southern Iranian port city of Bandar Abbas, killing at least one person and injuring 14, with Iranian officials attributing the blast to a gas leak.
263 articles
An explosion struck a building in the southern Iranian port city of Bandar Abbas on January 31, killing at least one person and injuring 14. Iranian officials attributed the blast to a gas leak, while the IRGC denied any connection to military activity. The incident occurred amid heightened US-Iran military tensions and ongoing joint naval exercises in the region.
Underlying stories (1)
Explosion at Bandar Abbas Port Kills One, Injures 14; Iran Blames Gas LeakJan 31 · 11 news events · 263 articles
An explosion struck a building in the southern Iranian port city of Bandar Abbas on January 31, killing at least one person and injuring 14. Iranian officials attributed the blast to a gas leak, while the IRGC denied any connection to military activity.
Global Reactions Divided to US-Israeli Strikes on Iran
World leaders issued sharply divided responses to the strikes, with Canada backing the operation while Spain, Ireland, and Russia condemned it, and Iran's FM offering conditional talks if strikes ceased.
319 articles
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney backed the US-Israeli operation as necessary to counter Iran's nuclear threat, while Spanish PM Pedro Sánchez demanded immediate de-escalation and Irish Taoiseach Micheál Martin warned of wider conflict risk. Russia's Foreign Ministry condemned the strikes as unprovoked aggression and called for diplomacy, with Foreign Minister Lavrov having previously warned that any new US strike on Iran would be 'playing with fire.' Iranian FM Araqchi offered conditional talks to the US if it ceased attacks. Iran-backed Iraqi armed group Kata'ib Hezbollah warned of a 'long war,' while Hezbollah signaled it would not intervene militarily in the event of limited strikes. Iraq-backed groups warned Washington of 'heavy losses.'
Jan 30 – Feb 28, 2026
Underlying stories (5)
US Pre-Strike Warnings: Analysts Flag Imminent Action as Military Readiness Peaks
Analysts and regional media flagged a '72-hour scenario' for US-Iran military confrontation as diplomatic talks stalled, with reports indicating US forces were prepared to strike as early as the weekend of February 22–23.
399 articles
Analysts and regional media warned of a potential military confrontation between the US and Iran within 72 hours as diplomatic talks in Geneva stalled and US military assets surged in the region. French and other international media reported the US was prepared to strike Iran as early as the weekend of February 22–23, pending Trump's order. Reports indicated Washington privately preferred Israel to strike first, while Rubio highlighted Iran's missile program as a direct threat to the US and Europe. Three Arab sources told Politico that a US military strike on Iran was inevitable. The US also evacuated hundreds of military personnel from Qatar and Bahrain bases, signaling Washington's assessment that Iranian retaliatory strikes were a credible near-term threat.
Jan 30 – Feb 27, 2026
Underlying stories (6)
Pre-Strike Warnings: Analysts Flag '72-Hour Scenario' as US-Iran Tensions Reach Critical Point
US Replenishes Bunker-Buster Arsenal; Orders Commando Raid Options Against Iran
The US Air Force awarded a contract to replenish GBU-57 bunker-buster bombs, while the New York Times reported Trump was presented with options including covert special forces raids deep inside Iranian territory.
54 articles
The US Air Force awarded Boeing a sole-source contract to replenish its arsenal of GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator bunker-buster bombs, signaling continued preparation for potential strikes on hardened Iranian nuclear facilities. The New York Times reported Trump had been presented with an expanded list of military options including covert special forces raids deep inside Iranian territory. Iran separately warned that unexploded GBU-57 bunker-buster bombs from the 2025 US strikes remained inside nuclear facilities, raising concerns about safety and the possibility Iran could recover and study the advanced weapons technology. The Wall Street Journal reported Trump ordered military planners to prepare scenarios for a swift strike designed to avoid a protracted conflict.
Jan 30 – Feb 13, 2026
Underlying stories (4)
US Air Force Orders New GBU-57 Bunker Buster Bombs Amid Iran Tensions
Iran Reveals Underground Missile City, Deploys Khorramshahr-4 Ballistic Missile
Iran unveiled a new underground missile facility and deployed its newest long-range ballistic missile, the Khorramshahr-4, to active combat duty as nuclear negotiations continued.
201 articles
Iran's IRGC unveiled a new underground missile city and deployed the advanced Khorramshahr-4 ballistic missile to operational status for the first time, with the chief of staff of Iran's armed forces conducting a high-profile visit. Iranian state television separately broadcast footage of a secret underground facility housing hundreds of Abu Mahdi anti-ship cruise missiles with a reported range of 1,000 kilometers. Satellite images showed Iran rapidly repairing more than a dozen ballistic missile facilities damaged during 2025 strikes. Iran's navy also unveiled new mine-laying tactics and advanced naval mines as an operational warning to US carrier groups. Israel assessed that Iranian missiles remained a key obstacle to any strike on Tehran.
Jan 30 – Feb 7, 2026
Underlying stories (6)
Iran Reveals New Underground Missile City as IRGC Chief Visits Amid Talks
Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz After Strikes; Status Disputed
Iran's IRGC ordered the closure of the Strait of Hormuz following the US-Israeli strikes, but the UK's maritime trade body stated the strait was not closed despite heightened military activity.
631 articles
Iran's IRGC ordered the closure of the Strait of Hormuz to all shipping following the February 28 strikes, threatening a major disruption to global oil markets. The US Department of Transportation advised commercial vessels to avoid the Gulf region due to 'military activity.' However, the UK's maritime trade body stated the strait was not closed despite heightened military activity in the area, creating uncertainty for global oil markets. OPEC+ was reported to be weighing an expansion of its planned oil production increase in response to the strikes, with a meeting scheduled for March 1. Analysts warned oil prices could reach $150 per barrel in a worst-case escalation scenario.
Jan 29 – Feb 28, 2026
Underlying stories (4)
Israel Warns Lebanon; Preemptive Strikes Target Hezbollah Ahead of Iran Operation
Israel escalated strikes in Lebanon in preemptive action to suppress Hezbollah's retaliatory capability, and warned Lebanon it would strike civilian infrastructure including the airport if Hezbollah joined any Iran confrontation.
78 articles
Israel escalated strikes in Lebanon in what analysts described as preemptive action to suppress Hezbollah's ability to retaliate if the US or Israel struck Iran. Israel sent an indirect message to Lebanon warning it would strike civilian infrastructure, including the airport, if Hezbollah joined any military confrontation involving Iran. Hezbollah signaled it would not intervene militarily in the event of limited US strikes against Iran. Lebanon expressed concern about being drawn into a broader US-Iran conflict. The State Department separately ordered nonessential diplomats and their families to depart Lebanon amid escalating regional tensions.
Jan 29 – Feb 27, 2026
Underlying stories (5)
Lebanon Fears Entanglement in US-Iran Conflict as Hezbollah Warns of RetaliationFeb 22 · 4 news events · 31 articles
Iran-Russia-China Joint Naval Drills in Strait of Hormuz
Iran, Russia, and China conducted joint naval exercises in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, and northern Indian Ocean, signaling strategic alignment among the three powers amid the US-Iran standoff.
478 articles
Iran announced plans for joint naval exercises with China and Russia in mid-February as part of the annual 'Maritime Security Belt' drill series. Russian and Chinese warships entered the Strait of Hormuz to participate in exercises near Bandar Abbas, with CENTCOM warning the drills posed risks to international shipping. Russia's Foreign Minister Lavrov separately expressed support for diplomatic solutions to the nuclear dispute while reaffirming Moscow's readiness to accept enriched uranium from Iran. Analysts assessed that despite the show of solidarity, China and Russia were unlikely to risk direct military confrontation with the United States on Tehran's behalf.
Jan 29 – Feb 23, 2026
Underlying stories (6)
Iran Announces Joint Military Drills with China and Russia in Mid-FebruaryJan 29 · 3 news events · 32 articles
Mojtaba Khamenei's Hidden Global Financial Empire Revealed
Investigative reports revealed a vast hidden financial network built by Mojtaba Khamenei, son of the Supreme Leader, estimated at hundreds of millions of dollars including global real estate holdings built despite international sanctions.
31 articles
A Bloomberg investigative report published January 29 detailed a vast hidden financial network built by Mojtaba Khamenei, estimated at hundreds of millions of dollars including a global real estate empire constructed despite international sanctions. Austrian newspaper Der Standard separately reported that Mojtaba attempted to acquire a company in Vienna, indicating his economic activities extend into the heart of Europe. The reports drew attention to the financial dealings of the Khamenei family amid the broader Iran crisis.
Iran Fears US Strike Could Reignite Protests and Imperil Regime
Iranian leadership grew increasingly worried that a US military strike could break its grip on power by driving an already enraged public back into the streets, shaping Tehran's strategic calculations.
1328 articles
Reuters reported, citing current and former Iranian officials, that Iran's leadership feared a US military strike could serve as a catalyst for its overthrow and a resurgence of mass protests. Analysts noted that the 'wall of fear' among Iranians had fallen, increasing the regime's vulnerability. Analysts also assessed that Iran's leadership calculated that surrendering to US demands posed a greater existential threat to regime survival than military conflict, creating a structural difficulty in reaching a diplomatic breakthrough. Secretary of State Rubio noted that 'no one knows' who would take over in Iran if Khamenei were removed, while the CIA assessed the IRGC would assume control in such a scenario.
Jan 28 – Feb 28, 2026
Underlying stories (5)
US Demands Permanent Nuclear Deal; Rubio Flags Missiles as 'Major Problem'
The Trump administration sought a nuclear agreement with Iran imposing permanent, indefinite restrictions with no expiration date, while Secretary Rubio described Iran's refusal to include ballistic missiles as a 'major problem.'
316 articles
White House envoy Steve Witkoff stated in a closed meeting that the Trump administration was seeking a nuclear agreement with Iran that imposes permanent, indefinite restrictions with no expiration date. Secretary of State Rubio described Iran's refusal to include ballistic missiles in negotiations as a 'major problem' and stated Iran's regime was weaker than at any point in its history. The New York Times reported the US and Iran agreed to broaden the scope of negotiations to include ballistic missiles and Iran-backed militias. Iran firmly rejected missiles as a subject for negotiation, with a senior adviser to Khamenei calling them a firm red line. Turkish Foreign Minister Fidan warned that expanding talks to include missiles would risk triggering war.
Jan 28 – Feb 25, 2026
Underlying stories (5)
US Demands Permanent, Unlimited Nuclear Deal with Iran; Rubio Flags Missile Dispute
Shamkhani Emerges as Key Crisis Manager; Appointed Defense Council Secretary
Ali Shamkhani, one of Khamenei's most trusted advisers and a survivor of a previous Israeli strike on his home, emerged as a central figure managing Iran's response to the US-Iran standoff and was appointed Defense Council secretary.
67 articles
Ali Shamkhani was identified as a central figure managing Iran's response to escalating tensions with the United States, having previously survived an Israeli strike on his Tehran home during the June 2025 conflict. Iranian President Pezeshkian issued a decree appointing Shamkhani as secretary of the Defense Council during the ongoing crisis. Shamkhani dismissed the concept of a 'limited strike' as an illusion and warned any US action would be treated as the start of war. He also cautioned American officials not to allow Netanyahu to manipulate the US into military confrontation with Iran, and stated Iran could reduce enrichment to 20% but would not transfer uranium abroad.
Jan 28 – Feb 25, 2026
Underlying stories (5)
Shamkhani Emerges as Key Figure Navigating Iran's Crisis with Washington
Iran's January Protest Crackdown: Death Tolls and International Condemnation
Activists reported at least 7,000 killed in Iran's crackdown on January protests, while Iran's presidential office published an official list of 2,986 victims, drawing widespread international condemnation.
190 articles
Activists reported that the death toll from Iran's crackdown on nationwide protests reached at least 7,002 people killed, representing one of the deadliest suppressions of civil unrest in the Islamic Republic's history. Iran's presidential office published an official list identifying 2,986 people killed during the January unrest, describing all victims as 'children of this land.' Iranian President Pezeshkian ordered an investigation into the events of January to identify root causes and implement reforms. Iran's Reformist Front condemned the detention of its members, and a journalist who filmed the crackdown described the atmosphere of fear and continued resistance among Iranians.
Jan 28 – Feb 12, 2026
Underlying stories (4)
Death Toll from Iran's Crackdown on January Protests Reaches at Least 7,000
US and UK Sanction Iranian Officials Over Protest Crackdown
The United States and United Kingdom imposed coordinated sanctions on Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni and other senior officials held responsible for the violent suppression of nationwide protests.
223 articles
The US Treasury sanctioned Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni and other senior officials for their roles in suppressing large-scale protests. The UK simultaneously announced sanctions against approximately ten Iranian individuals including the interior minister and police commanders. Activists reported the death toll from Iran's crackdown on January protests reached at least 7,002 people killed, while Iran's presidential office published an official list identifying 2,986 killed during the unrest. The US Treasury also separately sanctioned two cryptocurrency exchanges linked to Iran's financial system, marking the first time Washington directly targeted Iran-connected crypto platforms.
Jan 28 – Feb 12, 2026
Underlying stories (4)
US Imposes Sanctions on Iran's Interior Minister and Other Officials Over Protest Crackdown
Oil Prices Surge to Seven-Month Highs on US-Iran War Risk
Oil prices hit seven-month highs as traders hedged against the risk of conflict between the US and Iran, with markets particularly focused on the Strait of Hormuz and potential supply disruptions.
1752 articles
Oil prices reached seven-month highs as the probability of US-Iran military confrontation rose, with Brent crude surging more than 7% over two days at peak tension. Prices whipsawed repeatedly as war risk and diplomatic optimism competed, falling when Trump expressed hope for a deal and rising again after Vice President Vance said Iran had not met core US demands. Gold prices also rose in tandem as investors sought safe-haven assets, with gold hovering near $5,000 per ounce. European and US stock markets declined as conflict probability increased, with analysts warning the euro could fall to 1.16 against the dollar on further escalation. Saudi Arabia and the UAE were reported to be preparing to boost oil output to cover potential Iranian supply disruptions.
Jan 27 – Feb 28, 2026
Underlying stories (9)
Iran Threatens to Sink US Carriers, Strike Tel Aviv if Attacked
Iranian leaders issued sweeping military threats in response to US pressure, with Khamenei warning US aircraft carriers could be sunk and officials vowing strikes on Tel Aviv and US bases across the region.
1643 articles
Supreme Leader Khamenei warned that US aircraft carriers in the Gulf could be sent to the 'bottom of the sea' and that even the world's most powerful military could be struck. Iran's UN mission warned of an 'unprecedented' response to any US attack, while senior adviser Ali Shamkhani dismissed the concept of a 'limited strike' as an illusion and said any US action would be treated as the start of war. Iranian officials threatened strikes on the heart of Tel Aviv and declared that numerous US military bases across the region were within missile range. Iran's Chief of Staff announced a strategic shift from a defensive to an offensive military doctrine, and the IRGC declared it had prepared contingency plans for every possible scenario.
Jan 27 – Feb 22, 2026
Underlying stories (14)
Iran Asserts Right to Self-Defense as Khamenei Threatens to Sink US Warships
Iran Partially Closes Strait of Hormuz for Military Exercises
Iran announced temporary partial closures of the Strait of Hormuz for military drills, with the IRGC navy commander reiterating readiness to fully close the waterway if circumstances required.
1282 articles
Iran's IRGC announced live-fire exercises in the Strait of Hormuz on February 1–2, briefly restricting navigation in the strategically vital waterway through which roughly 20 million barrels of oil pass daily. CENTCOM warned the drills posed risks to international shipping. Iran later cancelled the exercises as diplomatic talks progressed, but subsequently announced additional temporary closures for further naval exercises in mid-February. The IRGC naval commander reiterated Iran's readiness to fully close the strait if circumstances required, and Iran formally warned the UN that US bases would be considered legitimate targets if attacked. Iran also unveiled an underground facility housing hundreds of Abu Mahdi anti-ship cruise missiles with a reported 1,000-kilometer range.
Jan 27 – Feb 18, 2026
Underlying stories (8)
Iran Temporarily Closes Part of Strait of Hormuz for Military Exercises
Iran's IRGC conducted live-fire drills in the Strait of Hormuz and unveiled new naval mine-laying tactics as a deterrent warning to US carrier groups operating in the Persian Gulf.
257 articles
Iran's IRGC naval forces announced and conducted live-fire exercises in the Strait of Hormuz, with CENTCOM warning the drills posed risks to international shipping. Iran's navy unveiled new mine-laying tactics and advanced naval mines as an operational warning to US carrier groups, with Iranian strategic assessments describing sea mining as a 'silent killer' that would be activated in the event of escalating military threats. Iran also fired missiles into the Strait of Hormuz from land and coastal positions as part of a separate military exercise. The IRGC naval commander reiterated Iran's readiness to fully close the strait if circumstances required.
Jan 27 – Feb 15, 2026
Underlying stories (5)
IRGC Navy Plans Live-Fire Drills in Strait of Hormuz as CENTCOM Issues WarningJan 27 · 8 news events · 122 articles
Iran Orders Start of Nuclear Talks; Araqchi-Witkoff Diplomacy Begins
Iranian President Pezeshkian ordered the start of nuclear negotiations with the United States, with Foreign Minister Araqchi authorized to lead talks and a meeting with US envoy Steve Witkoff arranged via Oman.
757 articles
Iranian President Pezeshkian ordered officials to begin nuclear negotiations with the US following requests from regional allies to pursue de-escalation. Foreign Minister Araqchi was formally tasked to represent Tehran in direct talks, with Oman emerging as the primary facilitating channel. US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff traveled to Israel first to coordinate with Netanyahu before the anticipated talks. Iran's Tasnim News Agency initially cast doubt on the immediacy of talks before Iran confirmed the diplomatic track. Turkey also offered to mediate, and Araqchi visited Ankara to meet President Erdogan to coordinate on US pressure.
Jan 27 – Feb 3, 2026
Underlying stories (7)
Araqchi-Witkoff Meeting Planned as Iran Orders Start of Direct Nuclear TalksJan 27 · 15 news events · 367 articles
Trump Issues Military Threats While Signaling Iran Deal Possible
President Trump repeatedly warned Iran of severe consequences if no nuclear deal was reached, while simultaneously expressing hope for an agreement and stating a deal could be reached within a month.
4547 articles
Trump told reporters he was considering a limited military strike on Iran while also saying he hoped to reach an agreement, describing Iran as 'talking seriously.' He warned of 'very traumatizing' and catastrophic consequences if talks failed, and stated that Iran rejecting a deal would be a 'stupid move.' Trump also publicly endorsed regime change in Iran, calling it 'the best thing that could happen,' and used his State of the Union address to declare the US would never allow Iran to acquire a nuclear weapon. The Wall Street Journal reported Trump ordered military planners to prepare rapid strike scenarios designed to avoid a protracted conflict, and multiple reports indicated Trump had been presented with options including killing Supreme Leader Khamenei.
Jan 26 – Feb 25, 2026
Underlying stories (11)
Iran Warns Neighbors Against Allowing Territory for US-Israeli Strikes
Iran conveyed warnings to neighboring countries that any nation allowing its airspace, land, or territorial waters to be used against Iran would be considered a hostile party.
55 articles
Iran conveyed a message to neighboring countries warning that any nation allowing its airspace, land, or territorial waters to be used against Iran would be considered a hostile party. Gulf Arab states hosting US military bases expressed growing anxiety over the prospect of being drawn into a US-Iran conflict, fearing Iranian retaliation against their territory. Reports indicated Saudi Arabia and other Gulf neighbors viewed armed conflict as increasingly likely compared to a diplomatic settlement. Turkey arrested six suspects on charges of conducting espionage on behalf of Iranian intelligence, with reports indicating the spy network had targeted Incirlik Air Base.
Jan 25 – Feb 22, 2026
Underlying stories (4)
EU Designates IRGC as Terrorist Organization; Iran Retaliates Diplomatically
EU foreign ministers voted to officially list Iran's IRGC as a terrorist organization, triggering a sharp Iranian response that included designating all EU military forces as terrorist organizations and summoning European ambassadors.
2043 articles
European Union foreign ministers voted on January 29 to officially designate Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization, citing its role in violently suppressing domestic protests. France publicly backed the designation ahead of the vote. Iran condemned the decision as a 'major strategic mistake,' summoned ambassadors of all EU member states in Tehran, and announced it now considers all EU naval and air forces to be terrorist organizations. Iran's parliament speaker, judiciary chief, and cabinet all issued condemnations. Ukraine separately designated the IRGC as a terrorist organization in solidarity. The EU simultaneously imposed new sanctions targeting human rights abuses, drone production, and ballistic missile development.
Jan 25 – Feb 21, 2026
Underlying stories (9)
EU Formally Designates IRGC as Terrorist Organization Over Protest Crackdown
Reza Pahlavi Calls for International Military Intervention, Meets Zelensky
Exiled Iranian Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi called for Western military intervention to help Iranians overthrow the Islamic Republic and met Ukrainian President Zelensky, who expressed support for the Iranian people's democratic aspirations.
317 articles
Reza Pahlavi addressed European leaders at the Munich Security Conference, pressing for active backing of regime change and calling for mass demonstrations on February 14. Ukrainian President Zelensky met with Pahlavi on the sidelines of an international gathering, expressing Ukraine's support for the Iranian people's struggle and highlighting the dangers of Iran-Russia cooperation. The White House was separately reported to be assembling prominent Iranian-American figures to develop a vision for a post-regime transition in Iran. Pahlavi later described the US-Israeli strikes as 'humanitarian' and declared that 'final victory is approaching.'
Jan 24 – Feb 28, 2026
Underlying stories (4)
US Deploys Dual Carrier Groups, 150+ Aircraft Near Iran
The US launched one of its largest regional military buildups in years, deploying two aircraft carriers and over 150 combat aircraft to the Mediterranean and Middle East as pressure on Iran intensified.
1015 articles
The USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald R. Ford were simultaneously deployed to the Mediterranean, while the US relocated more than 150 combat aircraft to bases in Europe and the Middle East. US forces in the region were placed on heightened readiness pending a final decision from President Trump. The Pentagon also confirmed deployment of 16 warships and approximately 40,000 troops to the broader Middle East theater. Satellite imagery later showed US military support aircraft surging at a Saudi airbase, and a destroyer conducted live-fire drills in the Arabian Sea. The buildup was described by analysts as one of the most significant US regional force postures in recent memory.
Jan 24 – Feb 27, 2026
Underlying stories (5)
US Deploys Two Aircraft Carriers to Mediterranean in Show of Force Against IranJan 24 · 12 news events · 471 articles
Khamenei Misses Key Military Meeting for First Time in 37 Years
Supreme Leader Khamenei did not attend a key annual military gathering for the first time in 37 years, fueling speculation about his health and ability to govern amid mounting pressures.
86 articles
Khamenei's absence from the annual military meeting was the first such absence in 37 years and prompted widespread speculation about his health. The Supreme Leader had previously made a public appearance to counter rumors he had retreated to an underground bunker during the protest crackdown. Khamenei subsequently delivered a televised video message praising Revolution anniversary turnout and calling for national unity. The New York Times separately reported that Khamenei had passed succession instructions to close associates and designated four potential successors in preparation for a worst-case strike scenario. A Saudi-owned outlet also reported an alleged internal soft coup attempt against Khamenei had been uncovered prior to the January protests.
Jan 24 – Feb 22, 2026
Underlying stories (5)
Khamenei Misses Key Annual Military Meeting for First Time in 37 Years
US-Iran Nuclear Talks in Geneva Yield 'Significant Progress,' Iran Agrees to No Enriched Uranium StockpileFeb 17 · 32 news events · 467 articles
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Iran says a potential 'unprecedented' deal is 'within reach' ahead of US talks36 articles
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IAEA Chief Warns 'Not Much Time' Left for Iran Nuclear Talks After Second RoundFeb 18 · 1 news events · 7 articles
Grossi: "Nicht viel Zeit" für Atomgespräche mit Iran7 articles
Iran Rejects Transfer of Enriched Uranium Abroad as Non-Starter in Nuclear TalksFeb 2 · 1 news events · 11 articles
باقری: انتقال اورانیوم غنیشده ایران به خارج منتفی است11 articles
Iran Signals Readiness to Suspend or Close Nuclear Program in Exchange for US DealFeb 2 · 2 news events · 17 articles
Global Leaders React to US-Israeli Strikes on Iran: Canada Supports, Spain and Ireland Oppose, Russia Demands HaltJan 30 · 6 news events · 243 articles
El jefe de seguridad iraní viajó a Moscú en medio de la tensión del régimen con Estados Unidos177 articles
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Pedro Sánchez, en contra del ataque de EEUU e Israel a Irán: "Exigimos la desescalada inmediata"21 articles
Spanish premier rejects 'unilateral military action' by US, Israel9 articles
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US Deploys Two Aircraft Carriers to Mediterranean in Show of Force Against IranJan 24 · 12 news events · 471 articles
不只林肯號？川普爆料：一支「美麗的艦隊」正華麗航向伊朗110 articles
EE UU redobla la presión sobre Irán con el envío de su mayor portaaviones, el Gerald Ford86 articles
ΗΠΑ: Στέλνουν δεύτερο αεροπλανοφόρο στη Μέση Ανατολή82 articles
Un second porte-avions américain devrait être déployé dans la région du Golfe57 articles
Iran braces for US attack as Trump's 'beautiful armada' arrives47 articles
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US Deploys Over 150 Combat Aircraft Near Iran Amid Strike PreparationsJan 24 · 15 news events · 404 articles
美伊靠近军事冲突的边缘202 articles
Iran : les États-Unis prêts à frapper ?41 articles
ABD'den Orta Doğu'daki üslerine savaş ve tanker uçağı yığınağı33 articles
Sur ordre de Trump, les États-Unis sont prêts à frapper l'Iran ce week-end19 articles
США перебросили более 150 самолетов в сторону Ирана16 articles
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US Forces Near Iran Placed on Heightened Readiness Pending Trump DecisionJan 29 · 6 news events · 64 articles
مسؤولون أميركيون: الوجود الحالي يسمح بحرب تمتد لأسابيع17 articles
وزير الدفاع الأميركي: مستعدون لكل الخيارات مع إيران14 articles
ABD ordusu İran'a saldırmak için hazır: Trump'ın kararı bekleniyor - ensonhaber.com11 articles
إعلام: الجيش الأمريكي يعلن جاهزيته لشن حرب على إيران10 articles
نائب الرئيس الإيراني: اليوم يجب ان نستعدّ لحالة حرب6 articles
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Second Round of US-Iran Nuclear Talks Concludes in Geneva with 'Positive Developments'Feb 15 · 27 news events · 1978 articles
Indirect Iran-U.S. Nuclear Talks Resume in Switzerland This Week1063 articles
واشنطن وطهران تقطعان خطوة نحو اتفاق لا يبدو قريبا196 articles
Iran - Mỹ đạt được 'bộ nguyên tắc' đàm phán93 articles
گزارشی از "پیشرفت خوب" آمریکا و ایران در گفتوگوهای ژنو87 articles
İsviçre'de kritik görüşme: İran Dışişleri Bakanı Erakçi Cenevre'de87 articles
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US-Iran Nuclear Talks in Geneva Yield 'Significant Progress,' Iran Agrees to No Enriched Uranium StockpileFeb 17 · 32 news events · 467 articles
В Женеве начался третий раунд переговоров Ирана и США46 articles
Iran says a potential 'unprecedented' deal is 'within reach' ahead of US talks36 articles
أخبار اليوم.. واشنطن وطهران تستأنفان المحادثات في جنيف35 articles
وفد إيران للمفاوضات النووية مع أميركا يغادر إلى جنيف27 articles
Irã prepara contraproposta enquanto Trump pondera ataques26 articles
+ 27 more
IAEA Chief Warns 'Not Much Time' Left for Iran Nuclear Talks After Second RoundFeb 18 · 1 news events · 7 articles
Grossi: "Nicht viel Zeit" für Atomgespräche mit Iran7 articles
Axios: Trump Administration Within Days of 'Full-Scale War' with Iran, Advisers Not BluffingFeb 18 · 4 news events · 110 articles
أكسيوس: ترامب يقترب من حرب كبرى مع إيران63 articles
EUA se aproximam de "guerra total" contra o Irã que pode começar em "dias", diz site19 articles
Stallo nel dialogo con l'Iran. 'Trump pronto alla guerra' - Medio Oriente - Ansa.it18 articles
Трамп приближается к большой войне с Ираном -- Axios10 articles
Trump Issues 48-Hour Ultimatum to Iran: Submit Nuclear Draft or Face StrikesFeb 19 · 9 news events · 117 articles
Trump amenaza a Irán: o llega a un "acuerdo significativo" o "pasarán cosas malas"35 articles
Trump antoi uhkaavan aikamääreen: "Maailma tulee huomaamaan"14 articles
ترامب يمهل إيران أسبوعين فقط للتوصل إلى اتفاق13 articles
Последние 48 часов: Трамп ставит Хаменеи ультиматум9 articles
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Vance Says Iran Has Not Accepted Core US Demands After Geneva TalksFeb 18 · 1 news events · 5 articles
فانس: إيران تتجاهل المطالب الأمريكية الأساسية5 articles
Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz Following US-Israeli StrikesJan 29 · 12 news events · 441 articles
Iran blocks ships from vital export route Strait of Hormuz327 articles
UK Maritime Trade Org Says Iran Now Threatening to Close Strait of Hormuz18 articles
Ιράν: Η σημασία των Στενών του Ορμούζ και το εφιαλτικό σενάριο για τις αγορές18 articles
ایران کاآبنائے ہرمز بند کرنے کا اعلان14 articles
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Strait of Hormuz Status Disputed: Iran Announces Closure, UK Maritime Body Says It Remains OpenFeb 28 · 3 news events · 60 articles
Mengapa Selat Hormuz di Lepas Pantai Iran Sangat Krusial?39 articles
ایران کاآبنائے ہرمز بند کرنے کا اعلان14 articles
El Estrecho de Ormuz no está cerrado, según el organismo británico de comercio marítimo7 articles
OPEC+ Considers Expanding Output Increase in Response to Iran StrikesJan 31 · 2 news events · 17 articles
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The strikes on February 28 triggered immediate Iranian retaliation. The IRGC launched ballistic missile and drone strikes against at least four US military bases across Gulf states—including Bahrain, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, and Kuwait—and against Israel, with at least one person reported killed in Abu Dhabi. Iran's IRGC also ordered the closure of the Strait of Hormuz to all shipping, though the UK's maritime trade body disputed that a full closure had taken effect, leaving global oil markets in a state of acute uncertainty. Analysts warned oil prices could reach $150 per barrel in a worst-case scenario, and OPEC+ was reported to be weighing an emergency production expansion. Iran's internet was nearly completely disrupted during the strikes, and Iranian FM Araqchi offered conditional diplomatic engagement if the US ceased attacks—a signal that Tehran retained some interest in off-ramps even as it retaliated militarily.
The question of Khamenei's fate has become the single most consequential unknown in the crisis. Israeli PM Netanyahu stated there were "many signs" the Supreme Leader was dead following strikes on his compound; Iran's Foreign Ministry denied this, with Araqchi confirming in a broadcast interview that Khamenei was alive and had been evacuated to a secure location. The uncertainty is compounded by a pre-existing pattern of concern about Khamenei's health: his absence from an annual military gathering for the first time in 37 years had already fueled speculation, and the New York Times had reported that Khamenei passed succession instructions to close associates and designated four potential successors ahead of a worst-case strike scenario. A Tehran city council member separately reported that Khamenei's son-in-law and daughter-in-law were killed in the strikes. The CIA assessed ahead of the operation that even if Khamenei were killed, the IRGC—not a reformist or transitional government—would assume control, a judgment that complicates the regime-change framing advanced by Trump, who publicly called on Iranians to rebel and offered IRGC members total immunity if they laid down arms.
The domestic Iranian dimension adds another layer of volatility. The January protests—suppressed at a cost of between 2,986 confirmed deaths (per Iran's own presidential office) and activist estimates exceeding 7,000—had already shattered the "wall of fear" that had previously constrained public dissent. University protests resumed in mid-February, and 40-day mourning marches drew crowds chanting against Khamenei in multiple cities. Iranian authorities responded by arresting prominent reformists including the spokesperson of the main reformist coalition, releasing forced televised confessions, and excluding protest detainees from a general amnesty issued on the Revolution anniversary. Reza Pahlavi, the exiled Crown Prince, addressed European leaders at the Munich Security Conference calling for active regime-change support, met Ukrainian President Zelensky, and described the US-Israeli strikes as "humanitarian." The White House was separately reported to be assembling Iranian-American figures to develop a post-regime transition framework. Whether the strikes catalyze the mass uprising that Iranian leadership feared—or instead consolidate nationalist sentiment around the regime—remains the defining domestic question.
Looking ahead, the situation remains acutely unstable across every dimension simultaneously. The status of the Strait of Hormuz closure and its impact on global energy markets will be the most immediate economic pressure point. Iran's retaliatory capacity—including its underground anti-ship missile arsenal, naval mining capability, and proxy networks in Iraq, Yemen, and Lebanon—has not been fully expended, and Kata'ib Hezbollah has warned of a "long war." The fate and whereabouts of Khamenei will determine whether Iran's leadership structure holds or fractures, with the Assembly of Experts and IRGC command both potential power centers in a succession scenario. The IAEA's ability to verify the status of Iran's nuclear program amid damaged and sealed facilities remains severely constrained, and any resumption of diplomacy will require resolving the fundamental gap over enrichment permanence and ballistic missiles that derailed the Geneva process. Congressional pressure via the War Powers Act may constrain further US military action. The next 72 hours of Iranian retaliation patterns, leadership communications, and Strait of Hormuz status will be decisive indicators of whether this crisis moves toward a negotiated pause or a sustained military campaign.
Trump Issues 48-Hour Ultimatum to Iran: Submit Nuclear Draft or Face Strikes
Feb 19 · 9 news events · 117 articles
Trump amenaza a Irán: o llega a un "acuerdo significativo" o "pasarán cosas malas"35 articles
Trump antoi uhkaavan aikamääreen: "Maailma tulee huomaamaan"14 articles
ترامب يمهل إيران أسبوعين فقط للتوصل إلى اتفاق13 articles
Последние 48 часов: Трамп ставит Хаменеи ультиматум9 articles
+ 4 more
Vance Says Iran Has Not Accepted Core US Demands After Geneva TalksFeb 18 · 1 news events · 5 articles
فانس: إيران تتجاهل المطالب الأمريكية الأساسية5 articles
Iran Warns Any Attack, Even Limited, Will Be Treated as Act of AggressionFeb 21 · 5 news events · 66 articles
Risk of 'escalation' if Iran attacked: deputy foreign minister23 articles
Irã diz que vai considerar possíveis ataques limitados como 'ato de agressão'17 articles
L'Iran brandit "le droit de se défendre" en cas d'attaque américaine sur son sol13 articles
Khamenei Threatens To Send US Warships To 'Bottom Of Sea'. Which Deadly Weapons Does Iran Have?8 articles
Iran: Spremni smo na to da se dogovor s SAD-om postigne što je prije moguće5 articles
NYT: This Week's US-Iran Talks Are Last Chance to Avoid Military ConflictFeb 19 · 1 news events · 19 articles
NYT: Negociações nesta semana entre EUA e Irã são última tentativa de evitar conflito19 articles
Trump Convenes Senior Advisers at White House for Iran Strategy SessionFeb 19 · 1 news events · 7 articles
Beyaz Saray'da İran zirvesi: Trump danışmanlarını topladı - ensonhaber.com7 articles
Iran Targets Four US Bases in Middle East with Retaliatory StrikesFeb 16 · 2 news events · 35 articles
إيران تعلن استهداف 4 قواعد أمريكية في الشرق الأوسط18 articles
دعوت سپاه از مردم برای آیین گرامیداشت شهدای اغتشاشات17 articles
Iranians Hold Memorials for Protesters Killed in Crackdown, Chanting Against KhameneiFeb 15 · 5 news events · 61 articles
Memorials for Iran's Slain Protesters Wil Test of State Crackdown27 articles
Iranians chant slogans against supreme leader at memorials for...13 articles
Berichte über Anti-Regierungs-Sprechchöre in Teheran9 articles
Iran | Des citoyens rendent hommage aux victimes de la répression dans plusieurs villes6 articles
New anti-government chants in Tehran after giant rallies abroad: Reports6 articles
Iranian Students Stage Anti-Government Protests at Universities Amid US-Iran TensionsFeb 17 · 5 news events · 65 articles
Memorials for Iran's Slain Protesters Wil Test of State Crackdown27 articles
В Иране студенты начали акции протеста14 articles
اشتباكات بين مؤيدين للسلطات ومعارضين في إيران، ولقاءات عسكرية بين طهران والرياض9 articles
Estudantes iranianos protestam pelo segundo dia consecutivo em algumas universidades9 articles
Iran | Des citoyens rendent hommage aux victimes de la répression dans plusieurs villes6 articles
Student Protests Resume at Tehran Universities as In-Person Classes ReturnFeb 18 · 1 news events · 6 articles
تجدد الاحتجاجات في جامعات طهران6 articles
+ 178 more stories
Axios: Trump Administration Within Days of 'Full-Scale War' with Iran, Advisers Not Bluffing
Feb 18 · 4 news events · 110 articles
Axios reported that the Trump administration is closer to a large-scale military confrontation with Iran than most Americans realize, with advisers indicating the military buildup is not a bluff. Multiple international outlets cited the report, with some estimating a 90% probability of strikes.
Trump Issues 48-Hour Ultimatum to Iran: Submit Nuclear Draft or Face StrikesFeb 19 · 9 news events · 117 articles
The Trump administration gave Iran approximately 48 hours to submit a detailed nuclear agreement draft, warning that military strikes would follow if no proposal was received. A new round of Geneva talks was offered for Friday, February 27, contingent on Iran's response.
News events (9)
Trump amenaza a Irán: o llega a un "acuerdo significativo" o "pasarán cosas malas"
Vance Says Iran Has Not Accepted Core US Demands After Geneva TalksFeb 18 · 1 news events · 5 articles
US Vice President JD Vance stated that Iran had failed to acknowledge core American demands during the Geneva nuclear talks held on Tuesday, signaling continued deadlock despite the second round of negotiations. His remarks came as Washington awaited an Iranian counterproposal and Trump issued a 10-to-15-day deadline for a deal.
Iran Warns Any Attack, Even Limited, Will Be Treated as Act of AggressionFeb 21 · 5 news events · 66 articles
Iran's deputy foreign minister warned at the UN Conference on Disarmament in Geneva that any strike on Iranian territory—regardless of scale—would be considered an act of aggression and risk serious escalation. Tehran separately signaled readiness to reach a deal with Washington as quickly as possible.
News events (5)
Risk of 'escalation' if Iran attacked: deputy foreign minister
NYT: This Week's US-Iran Talks Are Last Chance to Avoid Military ConflictFeb 19 · 1 news events · 19 articles
The New York Times reported that the upcoming round of US-Iran nuclear negotiations, scheduled for Thursday, February 26, represents the last opportunity to avert a military confrontation. The report framed the talks as a critical juncture as Trump's deadline for a deal approached.
News events (1)
NYT: Negociações nesta semana entre EUA e Irã são última tentativa de evitar conflito
Trump Convenes Senior Advisers at White House for Iran Strategy SessionFeb 19 · 1 news events · 7 articles
President Trump gathered top advisers at the White House to discuss next steps in the Iran standoff, according to Axios, as the administration weighed diplomatic and military options. The meeting came amid reports that US forces in the region had been placed on heightened readiness for a potential strike.
News events (1)
Beyaz Saray'da İran zirvesi: Trump danışmanlarını topladı - ensonhaber.com
Iran Targets Four US Bases in Middle East with Retaliatory Strikes
Feb 16 · 2 news events · 35 articles
Iranian state media reported that Iran struck four US military bases in the Middle East in retaliation for the American and Israeli strikes on Iranian cities. The announcement came as Iran also launched missiles at Gulf Arab states hosting US forces.
News events (2)
إيران تعلن استهداف 4 قواعد أمريكية في الشرق الأوسط
Iranians Hold Memorials for Protesters Killed in Crackdown, Chanting Against Khamenei
Feb 15 · 5 news events · 61 articles
Families and citizens across Iran gathered to mark the 40-day mourning period for protesters killed during the peak of the crackdown, with crowds in multiple cities chanting slogans calling for the death of Supreme Leader Khamenei.
News events (5)
Memorials for Iran's Slain Protesters Wil Test of State Crackdown
Iranian Students Stage Anti-Government Protests at Universities Amid US-Iran TensionsFeb 17 · 5 news events · 65 articles
Students at several Iranian universities held anti-government demonstrations, described as the first protests of significant scale since authorities cracked down on dissent the previous month. The protests coincided with intensifying US military pressure and diplomatic deadlines.
News events (5)
Memorials for Iran's Slain Protesters Wil Test of State Crackdown
Student Protests Resume at Tehran Universities as In-Person Classes ReturnFeb 18 · 1 news events · 6 articles
Protests resumed at several Tehran universities, including Tehran University, Sharif University of Technology, Amirkabir, and Beheshti, as students returned to in-person classes. Demonstrators gathered and raised slogans amid the ongoing US-Iran tensions.
Protests Erupt in Tehran and Globally as Reza Pahlavi Calls for DemonstrationsFeb 14 · 2 news events · 12 articles
New protests broke out in Tehran and several other Iranian cities on February 15, organized by opposition groups responding to Reza Pahlavi's call for a day of action. Large rallies in support of Iranians were also held in Los Angeles, San Diego, and Toronto.
IAEA Chief Says Iran Inspections Deal 'Possible but Terribly Difficult' After Twelve-Day War
Feb 13 · 1 news events · 12 articles
IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated that a new inspections agreement with Iran was possible but 'terribly difficult' following the June 2025 Twelve-Day War, noting the nuclear landscape had 'changed radically.' Inspectors have returned to Iran but damaged facilities remain off limits.
News events (1)
IAEA chief says Iran inspections deal 'possible but terribly difficult' after 12-day war
IAEA Chief Warns 'Not Much Time' Left for Iran Nuclear Talks After Second RoundFeb 18 · 1 news events · 7 articles
IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi warned after a second round of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks that there is 'not much time' remaining for diplomacy to succeed. The warning came amid accelerating military preparations and diplomatic deadlines.
News events (1)
Grossi: "Nicht viel Zeit" für Atomgespräche mit Iran
IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi met with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and announced the conclusion of technical discussions on Iran's nuclear program. The meeting took place ahead of the resumption of US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva.
The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency assessed that the Geneva talks between the United States and Iran had produced 'steps forward,' offering cautious optimism about the diplomatic process. The positive assessment came even as US officials privately expressed skepticism about Iran's willingness to meet core American demands.
News events (1)
Le patron de l'AIEA salue "des pas en avant" sur l'Iran
US Congress Moves to Invoke War Powers Act Over Iran Strike Authority
Feb 20 · 1 news events · 12 articles
Representative Ro Khanna announced plans to force a War Powers Act resolution vote next week to restrain presidential authority over potential military action against Iran. The move reflects growing congressional concern over Trump's unilateral decision-making on Iran.
News events (1)
Congress risks major loss to Trump over war powers vote on Iran
Pentagon Reportedly Harbors Doubts About Military Action Against IranFeb 12 · 1 news events · 10 articles
A report by The Atlantic outlined obstacles and complexities facing the US administration in pursuing a military option against Iran, citing Pentagon reservations about the risks and consequences of strikes. The report suggested significant internal US government debate over the viability of military action.
Iran's state broadcaster published a list of seven senior Israeli officials designated as 'legitimate targets,' while Israel reportedly circulated a corresponding list of Iranian figures. The exchange of assassination target lists marked a further escalation in the covert conflict between the two countries.
Iranian television network Ofogh broadcast a list of Israeli officials targeted for assassination, including Prime Minister Netanyahu, Mossad chief David Barnea, and other senior figures. The broadcast escalated tensions between Iran and Israel amid ongoing nuclear negotiations.
News events (1)
"Λίστα θανάτου": Ιρανικό κανάλι στοχοποιεί Νετανιάχου και κορυφαίους αξιωματούχους
Iran Seals Nuclear Site Entrances at Isfahan, Satellite Images Show
Feb 10 · 1 news events · 8 articles
Satellite imagery shows Iran has sealed all tunnel entrances at its Isfahan nuclear site, with analysts suggesting Tehran may fear an imminent military strike. The move mirrors actions taken before previous Israeli operations.
News events (1)
Media, 'Iran sigilla ingressi sito nucleare Ishafan, forse temono attacco' - Ultima ora - Ansa.it
Satellite Images Reveal Iran Fortifying Nuclear Sites and Military Positions Ahead of Potential StrikeFeb 11 · 8 news events · 255 articles
CNN and other outlets report that satellite imagery shows Iran reinforcing its nuclear facilities and military installations as the US significantly expands its military presence in the Middle East. The moves are interpreted as Iran signaling readiness for armed confrontation.
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Diancam Diserang AS, Iran Bentengi Situs Nuklir dan Militernya
Satellite Images Show Iran Fortifying Nuclear Sites and Military Tunnels Amid Strike ThreatsFeb 18 · 2 news events · 89 articles
Satellite imagery revealed that Iran has been actively repairing and fortifying its nuclear facilities, including reinforcing tunnel entrances near Natanz and Isfahan, as US military threats intensified. Analysts said Iran appeared to be using diplomatic talks to buy time for hardening its defenses.
Iran Conducts Missile Test as NOTAM Issued Over Southern AirspaceFeb 18 · 4 news events · 33 articles
Iran issued a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM) warning of missile launches over its southern regions, with Reuters reporting the test was conducted on Wednesday. The missile activity comes amid heightened US-Iran tensions and ongoing nuclear negotiations.
Iran Issues NOTAM for Missile Launch Operations in Southern RegionsFeb 18 · 2 news events · 13 articles
Iran issued a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM) indicating planned missile launch operations in areas stretching from central Iran to the Gulf of Oman. The announcement came amid heightened US-Iran military tensions and was interpreted as a show of force.
Second Round of US-Iran Nuclear Talks Concludes in Geneva with 'Positive Developments'
Feb 15 · 27 news events · 1978 articles
US and Iranian negotiators completed a second round of indirect nuclear talks in Geneva, with Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi describing 'positive developments' and agreement on general guiding principles, though significant gaps remain. Trump said within ten days it would be clear whether a deal was possible.
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Indirect Iran-U.S. Nuclear Talks Resume in Switzerland This Week
US-Iran Nuclear Talks in Geneva Yield 'Significant Progress,' Iran Agrees to No Enriched Uranium StockpileFeb 17 · 32 news events · 467 articles
A third round of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva concluded with Oman's foreign minister announcing 'significant progress,' including Iran's agreement not to stockpile enriched uranium or pursue a nuclear weapon. Iranian FM Araghchi described the talks as among the most serious with Americans, while Iranian President Pezeshkian reaffirmed Iran's commitment to Khamenei's fatwa against nucle
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В Женеве начался третий раунд переговоров Ирана и США
IAEA Chief Warns 'Not Much Time' Left for Iran Nuclear Talks After Second RoundFeb 18 · 1 news events · 7 articles
IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi warned after a second round of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks that there is 'not much time' remaining for diplomacy to succeed. The warning came amid accelerating military preparations and diplomatic deadlines.
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Grossi: "Nicht viel Zeit" für Atomgespräche mit Iran
The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency assessed that the Geneva talks between the United States and Iran had produced 'steps forward,' offering cautious optimism about the diplomatic process. The positive assessment came even as US officials privately expressed skepticism about Iran's willingness to meet core American demands.
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Le patron de l'AIEA salue "des pas en avant" sur l'Iran
Witkoff and Kushner Hold Back-to-Back Geneva Talks on Iran and UkraineFeb 9 · 5 news events · 48 articles
Trump's envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner conducted negotiations in Geneva on both the Iranian nuclear program and the war in Ukraine in a single day, an unusually ambitious diplomatic undertaking. Reuters assessed the results as mixed, with the Iran talks yielding limited progress on core US demands.
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VS verhoogt militaire druk op Iran, diplomatie draait op volle toeren
Rubio Speaks on Iran at Munich Security Conference as Witkoff and Kushner Head to GenevaFeb 13 · 3 news events · 181 articles
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio addressed the Munich Security Conference on the second day of the event, outlining the US position on Iran's nuclear program. Separately, White House envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner were confirmed to be traveling to Geneva for a new round of nuclear talks with Iranian negotiators.
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Reuters узнал о переговорах в один день по Украине и Ирану
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei called on Iranians to demonstrate unity, 'disappoint the enemy,' and participate in nationwide marches marking the 47th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, warning of regional war risks amid escalating US tensions.
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Jamenei pide "firmeza" a la población ante los intentos...
Iran Marks 47th Anniversary of Islamic Revolution Amid US Pressure and Nuclear TensionsFeb 9 · 5 news events · 59 articles
Iran held state-organized rallies marking the 47th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, with President Pezeshkian vowing Iran would not yield to excessive US demands on its nuclear program. Officials used the occasion to ratchet up anti-US messaging even as nuclear negotiations continued.
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Sous pression américaine, l'Iran commémore l'anniversaire de la Révolution islamique
Khamenei Grants Pardons to Over 2,000 Prisoners, Excludes ProtestersFeb 10 · 1 news events · 5 articles
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei granted pardons or sentence reductions to more than 2,000 prisoners on the occasion of the Islamic Revolution anniversary, but the amnesty explicitly excluded protesters arrested during recent unrest.
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Irán concede miles de indultos, pero excluye a manifestantes
Iran Marks Revolution Anniversary Amid US Threats; President Vows No SubmissionFeb 10 · 2 news events · 29 articles
Iran marked the 47th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution on Wednesday under the shadow of US military threats and ongoing nuclear negotiations. President Pezeshkian vowed the Islamic Republic would not bow to outside pressure.
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Iran marks revolution anniversary under shadow of US threat
Iran Rejects Trump's Nuclear Claims as 'Three Big Lies,' Accuses US of Nazi-Style PropagandaFeb 11 · 4 news events · 62 articles
Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman Ismail Baghaei accused the Trump administration and its allies, led by Israel, of using systematic propaganda to distort Iran's image, calling Trump's statements about Iran's nuclear program 'three big lies.' Baghaei also compared US messaging tactics to those of Nazi Germany.
Iranian TV Reporter Accidentally Says 'Death to Khamenei' Live on Air; Station Chief FiredFeb 12 · 2 news events · 15 articles
An Iranian state television reporter caused a major incident by accidentally saying 'Death to Khamenei' during a live broadcast celebrating the Islamic Revolution anniversary. The regional head of state broadcaster IRIB was subsequently fired over the on-air gaffe.
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Iranian reporter says 'Death to Khamenei' during Islamic Revolution...
Israel Monitors Oman Talks with Concern as Netanyahu Moves Up Washington Visit
Feb 3 · 8 news events · 186 articles
Israeli political and media circles followed the US-Iran Oman talks with significant concern, with Netanyahu accelerating his planned Washington visit by a week to discuss Iran strategy with Trump. Reports indicate Netanyahu intends to push for inclusion of ballistic missile restrictions and an end to Iranian support for its regional axis in any nuclear deal.
Netanyahu Meets Trump in Washington, Discusses Iran Strategy and GazaFeb 5 · 19 news events · 657 articles
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu traveled to Washington for official meetings with President Trump and senior US envoys, with discussions centered on Iran nuclear negotiations, potential military options if diplomacy fails, and the Gaza situation.
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هل سيُقنع نتنياهو ترمب بالحرب لا التفاوض مع إيران؟
Netanyahu Convenes Security Cabinet Ahead of US-Iran Talks, Warns of Severe Strike CapabilityFeb 5 · 2 news events · 12 articles
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convened his security cabinet as US-Iran negotiations were set to resume, and warned that Israel is prepared to strike Iran far harder than during the Twelve-Day War.
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ABD-İran görüşmesi öncesi Netanyahu güvenlik kabinesini topladı | Politika Haberleri
Netanyahu Sets Four Conditions for US-Iran Nuclear Deal, Demands Full Dismantlement and Missile Range LimitsFeb 8 · 7 news events · 59 articles
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly outlined his conditions for any US-Iran nuclear agreement, demanding removal of all enriched uranium from Iran, dismantlement of nuclear infrastructure, and a 300-kilometer limit on Iranian ballistic missile range. Netanyahu stated he conveyed these conditions directly to President Trump.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu outlined three conditions for any acceptable nuclear deal with Iran, including the removal of all enriched uranium stockpiles from Iranian territory and the full dismantlement of uranium enrichment capacity. Netanyahu also called for limiting Iranian ballistic missile range to 300 kilometers.
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Νετανιάχου:Η συμφωνία ΗΠΑ-Ιράν απαιτεί πλήρη διάλυση του εμπλουτισμού ουρανίου
Trump and Netanyahu Reportedly Agree to Intensify Economic Pressure on Iran Alongside DiplomacyFeb 10 · 22 news events · 630 articles
Reports indicate that President Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reached an agreement to strengthen economic pressure and sanctions on Iran, even as diplomatic negotiations continue in parallel.
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ماذا طلب نتنياهو من ترامب خلال اجتماعهما بشأن إيران؟
Netanyahu Skeptical of Iran Nuclear Deal Despite Believing Trump Can Secure AgreementFeb 12 · 1 news events · 5 articles
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu stated he believed Trump thought he could bring about a good nuclear deal with Iran, but said Israel remained skeptical. Netanyahu insisted any agreement must include Iran's ballistic missile program.
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Netanyahu, 'Trump pensa di poter portare ad un buon accordo con l'Iran' - Ultima ora - Ansa.it
CBS Reports Trump Gave Netanyahu Green Light to Strike Iran's Ballistic Missile ProgramFeb 14 · 6 news events · 90 articles
CBS News reported that President Trump told Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu at a December meeting in Mar-a-Lago that the US would support Israeli strikes against Iran's ballistic missile program and missile facilities. The report emerged as US-Iran nuclear talks were resuming in Geneva.
CENTCOM Releases Details and Footage of Operation Epic Fury Targeting IRGC Infrastructure
Feb 2 · 5 news events · 100 articles
US Central Command released unclassified footage and details of Operation Epic Fury, confirming strikes on IRGC command posts, air defense systems, and military airfields in Iran, prioritizing locations deemed to pose 'imminent threats.' More than twelve US warships were reported in the region supporting the operation.
Senior Iranian official Bagheri stated that the transfer of Iran's enriched uranium stockpile to a foreign country is off the table as a negotiating option. The statement came as Iran and the US prepared for nuclear talks in Oman.
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باقری: انتقال اورانیوم غنیشده ایران به خارج منتفی است
Iran Signals Readiness to Suspend or Close Nuclear Program in Exchange for US DealFeb 2 · 2 news events · 17 articles
Iranian officials told the New York Times that Tehran is prepared to close or suspend its nuclear program as part of an effort to de-escalate tensions with the United States and avoid military strikes. The signals emerged ahead of scheduled nuclear talks in Oman.
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مسؤولون إيرانيون: طهران مستعدة لتعليق برنامجها النووي
Shamkhani Says Iran Could Lower Enrichment Level But Will Not Transfer Uranium AbroadFeb 2 · 1 news events · 12 articles
Khamenei's political adviser Ali Shamkhani stated that Iran could reduce its uranium enrichment level from 60% to 20% through dilution, but firmly rejected any transfer of enriched uranium to foreign countries. The statement outlined Iran's negotiating parameters ahead of anticipated direct talks with the United States.
NYT: Iran Prepared to Suspend or Scale Back Nuclear Program for US DealFeb 3 · 1 news events · 18 articles
The New York Times reported, citing sources, that Iran is prepared to suspend or scale back its nuclear program in order to reach a deal with the United States. The report suggests Tehran's negotiating position may be more flexible than its public statements have indicated.
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Стало известно о готовности Ирана пойти на большую уступку США
Iran Offers Russia Transfer of Enriched Uranium Stockpile Amid Nuclear TalksFeb 3 · 3 news events · 22 articles
Iran's leadership proposed to Russia during a recent Moscow visit the transfer of its enriched uranium stockpile, according to the New York Times. A senior Iranian official separately stated that the size of Iran's enriched uranium stockpile remains unknown due to attacks on nuclear facilities, and ruled out transferring nuclear material as part of any deal with the US.
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إيران: مخزون اليورانيوم المخصب لدينا لا يزال غير مُحدد
Kremlin Reaffirms Russia's Readiness to Accept Enriched Uranium from IranFeb 4 · 4 news events · 83 articles
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov reminded reporters that Russia had previously stated its readiness to accept enriched uranium from Iran as part of a potential nuclear agreement. The statement came as US-Iran tensions reached a critical point.
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Иран выразил готовность передать России важный ресурс
Iran Signals Possible Reduction of Uranium Enrichment Level in Exchange for Sanctions ReliefFeb 6 · 1 news events · 25 articles
Head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization Mohammad Eslami indicated that Iran could consider reducing its uranium enrichment level from 60% if all sanctions were lifted. The statement came alongside the first round of US-Iran nuclear talks in Oman.
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إيران قد تخفض نسبة تخصيب اليورانيوم مقابل رفع العقوبات
Iran Signals Willingness to Dilute Enriched Uranium Stockpile If All Sanctions LiftedFeb 9 · 4 news events · 207 articles
Iran indicated it may downgrade the enrichment level of its uranium stockpile from approximately 60 percent purity in exchange for the full lifting of all sanctions, according to senior Iranian officials ahead of ongoing nuclear negotiations.
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Iran may dilute enriched uranium if sanctions fully lifted | THE DAILY TRIBUNE | KINGDOM OF BAHRAIN
Iran Signals Willingness to Compromise on Enriched Uranium Stockpile Ahead of Geneva TalksFeb 13 · 3 news events · 463 articles
Iran's deputy foreign minister indicated that Tehran was willing to make concessions on its highly enriched uranium stockpile ahead of the upcoming Geneva negotiations, while also signaling openness to economic cooperation in energy, mining, and aviation. Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi departed for Geneva to lead the Iranian delegation.
Iran Signals Openness to Compromise on Nuclear Deal Ahead of Second Geneva RoundFeb 15 · 5 news events · 63 articles
Iran's atomic energy chief indicated Tehran could agree to dilute its most highly enriched uranium and consider other compromises to reach a nuclear agreement with the US. Iranian officials also offered economic incentives including energy, mining, and aircraft deals as part of a broader framework.
Iran Signals Willingness to Limit Nuclear Program in Exchange for Sanctions ReliefFeb 15 · 8 news events · 74 articles
Iran indicated it was prepared to make concessions on its nuclear program, including limiting enrichment activities, in exchange for sanctions relief and international recognition, as it prepared a draft proposal ahead of scheduled Geneva talks. Foreign Minister Araqchi simultaneously insisted Iran would not abandon enrichment as a sovereign right.
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Iran-US Talks Expected Thursday Despite Fears Of Strikes
Iran Offers Economic Cooperation Deal and Prepares Nuclear Counterproposal Within DaysFeb 15 · 7 news events · 93 articles
Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi announced Tehran expects to present a draft nuclear agreement to the US within 2-3 days, while Iran also reportedly offered Washington expanded economic cooperation as part of a potential deal. The moves came amid intensifying US military pressure and Trump's public consideration of limited strikes.
Iran's Reformist Front Condemns Arrests of Its Members Amid US Tensions
Feb 8 · 1 news events · 55 articles
Iran's Reformist Front issued a statement strongly condemning the detention and summoning of its members by Iranian authorities. The crackdown on reformists came amid heightened domestic and international pressures over the nuclear standoff.
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خبرگاه؛ بقایی: آمریکا مستقل از فشارهای مخرب عمل کند
Iran Arrests Prominent Reformist Politicians on Charges of Links to US and IsraelFeb 9 · 2 news events · 103 articles
Iranian authorities, including the IRGC, arrested several prominent reformist figures including the spokesperson of the main reformist coalition, Javad Imam, on charges of attempting to disrupt political and social order and working for the benefit of the US and Israel.
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Iran arrests prominent reformist politicians, cites links to US, Israel
Iranian state media released a record number of forced televised confessions from detained protesters following the government's crackdown, raising fears of imminent executions. The practice drew widespread condemnation from human rights groups and international observers.
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Popular anger burns in Iran after crackdown, as Trump turns up pressure
Iran Releases Death-Row Protester Believed Executed, Symbol of January CrackdownFeb 1 · 1 news events · 7 articles
A 26-year-old Iranian man who had been sentenced to death for propaganda against the state and was widely believed to have been executed was released on bail, in a surprise development amid high US-Iran tensions.
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Iran, libero su cauzione il giovane simbolo delle proteste, si pensava fosse stato impiccato
The first round of indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations held in Muscat, Oman concluded with both sides agreeing to hold further talks 'soon.' Trump described the outcome as successful and said Iran was eager for a deal, while Iran's foreign ministry confirmed the format would remain unchanged for subsequent rounds.
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L'Iran d'accord avec Wahington pour tenir " bientôt " de nouveaux pourparlers
Witkoff and Kushner Visit USS Abraham Lincoln After Iran Talks in OmanFeb 2 · 7 news events · 102 articles
US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner visited the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Middle East following indirect nuclear talks with Iran in Oman. The visit was seen as a deliberate signal combining diplomatic engagement with a show of military force.
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Trump's special envoy Witkoff and Kushner visit US aircraft carrier amid Iran tensions, talks
CENTCOM Commander to Join US Nuclear Negotiating Team in Oman TalksFeb 3 · 1 news events · 9 articles
The Wall Street Journal reported that CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper will join the US negotiating team for nuclear talks with Iran, an unusual deployment of a senior military commander to a diplomatic setting. The move underscores the Trump administration's dual-track pressure strategy combining military readiness with diplomacy.
Larijani Travels to Oman as Iran-US Indirect Talks ContinueFeb 9 · 1 news events · 26 articles
Iran's top security official Ali Larijani traveled to Oman, the intermediary country facilitating indirect nuclear negotiations between Tehran and Washington. The visit signaled continued diplomatic engagement at a senior level despite ongoing tensions.
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Στο Ομάν την Τρίτη ο Αλί Λαριτζανί στο πλαίσιο των συνομιλιών Ιράν - ΗΠΑ
Iranian Gunboats Approach US-Flagged Tanker in Strait of Hormuz
Jan 31 · 16 news events · 321 articles
Iranian armed gunboats approached and threatened a US-flagged tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, according to maritime security firms and Reuters. The incident occurred alongside a separate US F-35C shootdown of an Iranian Shahed drone near a US aircraft carrier, raising tensions in the waterway.
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U.S. tanker approached by Iranian gunboats in Strait of Hormuz, security firm says
US Shoots Down Iranian Drone Near USS Abraham Lincoln in Arabian SeaFeb 3 · 12 news events · 593 articles
A US fighter jet shot down an Iranian Shahed-139 drone in the Arabian Sea after it aggressively approached the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier. CENTCOM confirmed the incident, stating the carrier was operating in international waters approximately 800 kilometers from the Iranian coast.
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US Fighter Jet Shoots Down Iranian Drone | THE DAILY TRIBUNE | KINGDOM OF BAHRAIN
Iranian Gunboats Approach and Attempt to Intercept US-Flagged Tanker in Strait of HormuzFeb 3 · 9 news events · 91 articles
Six small armed Iranian Revolutionary Guard boats approached and attempted to intercept the US-flagged tanker Stena Imperative as it transited the Strait of Hormuz. UK maritime security firm UKMTO reported the security incident, while Iranian state media described the vessel as having entered Iranian waters illegally before being warned off.
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Απόπειρα κατάληψης αμερικανικού τάνκερ από το Ιράν
IRGC Seizes Two Foreign Oil Tankers in Persian Gulf for Alleged Fuel SmugglingFeb 3 · 7 news events · 177 articles
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps detained two foreign oil tankers in the Persian Gulf, accusing them of smuggling fuel. Fifteen crew members were handed over to Iranian authorities amid heightened US-Iran tensions.
US F-35 Shoots Down Iranian Shahed Drone Over Middle EastFeb 4 · 1 news events · 25 articles
A US Air Force F-35 fighter jet shot down an Iranian Shahed drone over the Middle East, marking a direct military engagement as tensions between Washington and Tehran escalated sharply.
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Timteng Makin Panas! Jet Tempur F-35 AS Tembak Jatuh Drone Shahed Iran
Global Leaders React to US-Israeli Strikes on Iran: Canada Supports, Spain and Ireland Oppose, Russia Demands Halt
Jan 30 · 6 news events · 243 articles
World leaders issued sharply divided responses to the US-Israeli strikes on Iran, with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney backing the operation as necessary to counter Iran's nuclear threat, while Spanish PM Pedro Sánchez demanded immediate de-escalation, Irish Taoiseach Micheál Martin warned of wider conflict risk, and Russia's Foreign Ministry condemned the strikes as unprovoked aggression and
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El jefe de seguridad iraní viajó a Moscú en medio de la tensión del régimen con Estados Unidos
Lavrov Warns US Strike on Iran Would Be 'Playing with Fire,' Calls Escalation DangerousFeb 18 · 2 news events · 45 articles
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov warned that any new US military strike on Iran would amount to 'playing with fire' and expressed confidence that Arab states and Gulf monarchies do not want further escalation. Lavrov also reiterated Russia's readiness to accept enriched uranium from Iran as part of a diplomatic solution.
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Russia's Lavrov warns against any new US strike on Iran By Reuters
Lebanon Fears Entanglement in US-Iran Conflict as Hezbollah Warns of RetaliationFeb 22 · 4 news events · 31 articles
Lebanon expressed concern about being drawn into a broader US-Iran conflict, with Hezbollah warning it would respond forcefully to any American or Israeli strikes on Iran. Analysts noted Lebanon's precarious position given Hezbollah's deep ties to Tehran.
Analysts and regional media warned of a potential military confrontation between the US and Iran within 72 hours as diplomatic talks in Geneva stalled and US military assets surged in the region. Reports indicated Washington privately preferred Israel to strike first, while Rubio highlighted Iran's missile program as a direct threat to the US and Europe.
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"Απόφαση για επίθεση στο Ιράν στις αρχές της εβδομάδας"
Reports: US Ready to Strike Iran This Weekend on Trump's OrdersFeb 18 · 3 news events · 47 articles
French and other international media reported that the United States had significantly reinforced its military presence in the Middle East and was prepared to strike Iran as early as the weekend of February 22–23, pending Trump's order. The reports cited warships and aircraft deployments over the preceding 48 hours.
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Sur ordre de Trump, les États-Unis sont prêts à frapper l'Iran ce week-end
Politico: Three Arab Sources Say US Strike on Iran Is InevitableJan 31 · 1 news events · 5 articles
Three Arab sources familiar with discussions between the Trump administration and Gulf states told Politico that a US military strike on Iran is inevitable, even as Gulf nations seek to de-escalate tensions between Washington and Tehran.
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"بوليتكو" نقلا عن 3 مصادر عربية على دراية بالمحادثات بين ترامب ودول الخليج بشأن إيران: الضربة حتمية
US Evacuates Military Personnel from Qatar and Bahrain Bases Amid Iran TensionsFeb 21 · 1 news events · 8 articles
The United States has instructed hundreds of military personnel to evacuate strategic bases in Qatar and Bahrain as tensions with Iran reach a critical level. The move signals Washington's assessment that Iranian retaliatory strikes on Gulf-based US assets are a credible near-term threat.
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Tensión máxima en Irán: Estados Unidos insta a evacuar Qatar y Bahrein de inmediato
Analysts and Media Outline Indicators and Scenarios for Imminent US Strike on IranJan 30 · 13 news events · 190 articles
Multiple international media outlets and analysts published assessments identifying five to six key indicators suggesting a US strike on Iran could be imminent, citing military buildups, diplomatic deadlines, and stalled negotiations. Reports also outlined various strike scenarios ranging from limited to large-scale operations.
Reports Emerge of Potential US Strike on Iran as Early as Sunday MorningJan 30 · 3 news events · 33 articles
Multiple reports, including from Israeli media and Arab sources, indicated that senior US officials had informed a Middle Eastern ally that Trump might authorize a military strike on Iran as early as Sunday, with some outlets citing specific timing windows. The reports intensified speculation about imminent military action.
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تقرير إسرائيلي يكشف موعد الضربة المحتملة على إيران
The US Air Force awarded Boeing a sole-source contract to replenish its arsenal of GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator bunker buster bombs amid heightened tensions with Iran. The procurement signals continued US preparation for potential strikes on hardened Iranian nuclear facilities.
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US Air Force orders new GBU-57 bunker buster bombs amid tensions with Iran
NYT Reports Trump Considering Commando Raids Deep Inside IranJan 30 · 3 news events · 17 articles
The New York Times reported that Trump has been presented with an expanded list of military options against Iran, including covert special forces raids deep inside Iranian territory, representing one of the riskier scenarios under consideration.
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عملية "كوماندوز" سرية ضد إيران.. خيارات ترامب العسكرية
Iran Warns of Unexploded US Bunker-Buster Bombs Inside Nuclear Facilities Hit in 2025Feb 9 · 1 news events · 5 articles
Iran warned that unexploded GBU-57 bunker-buster bombs from the 2025 US strikes remain inside nuclear facilities, raising concerns about both safety and the possibility that Iran could recover and study the advanced weapons technology.
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Iran warns unexploded US bunker-buster bombs are still inside nuclear facilities hit in 2025
WSJ: Trump Orders Preparation of Rapid Strike Scenarios Against Iran to Avoid Prolonged WarJan 30 · 5 news events · 31 articles
The Wall Street Journal reported that President Trump has ordered military planners to prepare scenarios for a swift strike on Iran designed to avoid a protracted conflict in the Middle East.
Iran's IRGC unveiled a new underground missile city and deployed the advanced Khorramshahr-4 ballistic missile to operational status for the first time, with the chief of staff of Iran's armed forces conducting a high-profile visit. The moves were seen as a signal of military readiness concurrent with diplomatic negotiations.
Iran Reveals Underground Missile City with Anti-Ship Missiles Capable of Striking US WarshipsJan 30 · 1 news events · 41 articles
Iranian state television broadcast footage of a secret underground missile facility housing hundreds of Abu Mahdi anti-ship cruise missiles with a reported range of 1,000 kilometers, with IRGC Navy Commander Tangsiri personally presenting the facility.
Iran's IRGC has deployed its newest long-range ballistic missile, the Khorramshahr-4, to active combat duty. The move comes as nuclear negotiations with the US continue, with Israel assessing that Iranian missiles remain a key obstacle to any strike on Tehran.
New satellite imagery indicates Iran is working swiftly to repair more than a dozen ballistic missile facilities that were damaged during US and Israeli strikes in 2025. The repairs signal Iran's determination to restore its missile capabilities despite ongoing nuclear negotiations.
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Satellite images show Iran focusing on repairing ballistic missile...
Iran Threatens Naval Mining and Maritime Deterrence Against US Military PressureFeb 7 · 1 news events · 12 articles
Iranian strategic assessments highlighted by the Fars news agency indicate that Iran's naval deterrence options, including sea mining described as a 'silent killer,' would be activated in the event of escalating military threats. The warnings were framed as a message to the Trump administration.
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"تفخيخ البحر".. إيران تلوح بـ"القاتل الصامت" بوجه ترامب
Iran's IRGC Reveals Naval Mining Tactics as Warning to US Warships in Persian GulfFeb 7 · 1 news events · 5 articles
Iran's navy unveiled new mine-laying tactics and advanced naval mines as an operational warning to US carrier groups operating in the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz. The disclosure was framed as a deterrent signal amid escalating US-Iran tensions.
Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz Following US-Israeli Strikes
Jan 29 · 12 news events · 441 articles
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps ordered the closure of the Strait of Hormuz to shipping following the February 28 strikes, threatening a major disruption to global oil markets. The US Department of Transportation advised commercial vessels to avoid the Gulf region due to 'military activity.'
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Iran blocks ships from vital export route Strait of Hormuz
Strait of Hormuz Status Disputed: Iran Announces Closure, UK Maritime Body Says It Remains OpenFeb 28 · 3 news events · 60 articles
Iran's IRGC announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz to all shipping following the US-Israeli strikes, but the UK's maritime trade body stated the strait was not closed despite heightened military activity in the area. The conflicting reports created uncertainty for global oil markets.
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Mengapa Selat Hormuz di Lepas Pantai Iran Sangat Krusial?
OPEC+ Considers Expanding Output Increase in Response to Iran StrikesJan 31 · 2 news events · 17 articles
OPEC+ is weighing an expansion of its planned oil production increase following the US-Israeli strikes on Iran, according to sources familiar with the group's deliberations. The cartel was set to meet on March 1 to discuss the response to supply disruption fears.
Oil Price Scenarios Emerge as Analysts Warn of Potential $150/Barrel SpikeFeb 23 · 5 news events · 127 articles
Analysts outlined multiple oil price scenarios following the US-Israeli strikes on Iran, with some warning that prices could reach $150 per barrel in a worst-case escalation scenario. A more benign 'TACO' scenario assumed a rapid de-escalation.
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Oil prices hit seven-month highs as tensions rise before US-Iran talks
Lebanon expressed concern about being drawn into a broader US-Iran conflict, with Hezbollah warning it would respond forcefully to any American or Israeli strikes on Iran. Analysts noted Lebanon's precarious position given Hezbollah's deep ties to Tehran.
Rubio Triggers War Alarm Among Intelligence Lawmakers; US Diplomats Ordered to Leave LebanonJan 29 · 4 news events · 47 articles
Secretary of State Marco Rubio's statements prompted alarm among congressional intelligence committee members who warned of imminent war. Separately, the State Department ordered nonessential diplomats and their families to depart Lebanon amid escalating regional tensions.
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Trump will schnellen Sieg: Rubio droht mit Präventivschlag gegen Teheran
Iran announced plans to conduct joint naval exercises with China and Russia in mid-February in the northern Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea, continuing the annual 'Maritime Security Belt' drills held since 2019.
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إيران تقيم مناورات عسكرية مع الصين وروسيا منتصف فبراير
Iran, Russia, and China Launch Joint Naval Exercises in Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of OmanJan 31 · 7 news events · 76 articles
Iran and Russia began joint naval drills in the Gulf of Oman and northern Indian Ocean, with China announced as a forthcoming participant, as part of the ongoing 'Maritime Security Belt' exercise series amid escalating US-Iran tensions.
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Amid high tensions with US, Iranian Navy to conduct joint exercises with Russia and China
Russia, China, and Iran Launch Joint Naval Drills in Strait of Hormuz and Bandar AbbasJan 31 · 9 news events · 88 articles
Russian and Chinese warships entered the Strait of Hormuz to participate in joint naval exercises with Iran near the port of Bandar Abbas, as US military presence in the region intensifies. The drills signal continued strategic alignment between Moscow, Beijing, and Tehran amid the nuclear standoff.
News events (9)
Amid high tensions with US, Iranian Navy to conduct joint exercises with Russia and China
Iran-Russia Joint Naval Drills Held in Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman Amid US Strike FearsFeb 17 · 4 news events · 180 articles
Iranian and Russian naval forces conducted joint military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, and Indian Ocean as US military pressure on Iran intensified. The drills, which also involved Chinese vessels, were seen as a show of solidarity and a signal to Washington.
Russia Conducts Joint Military Drills with Iran as Lavrov Backs Nuclear DiplomacyFeb 17 · 7 news events · 214 articles
Russian forces conducted military exercises with Iranian troops off Iran's coast, signaling solidarity as US military pressure mounted. Separately, Foreign Minister Lavrov expressed support to Araqchi for diplomatic solutions to the nuclear dispute that respect Iran's rights under the Non-Proliferation Treaty.
Analysis: China and Russia Unlikely to Intervene Militarily if Iran Is AttackedJan 30 · 2 news events · 151 articles
Analysts assessed that Iran faces effective strategic isolation, with China and Russia unlikely to risk direct military confrontation with the United States on Tehran's behalf. The assessment underscores Iran's limited options for external support in the event of a US or Israeli strike.
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China: Nur eingeschränkte Schützenhilfe für Regime im Iran
Austrian newspaper Der Standard reported that Mojtaba Khamenei, son of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, attempted to acquire a company in Vienna, indicating that his economic activities extend beyond Iran into the heart of Europe. The report drew attention to the financial dealings of the Khamenei family amid international sanctions.
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"ملياردير الظل".. تقرير يكشف شبكة ثروة هائلة لنجل خامنئي
A Bloomberg investigative report published January 29 details a vast hidden financial network built by Mojtaba Khamenei, son of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, estimated at hundreds of millions of dollars including a global real estate empire built despite international sanctions.
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"ملياردير الظل".. تقرير يكشف شبكة ثروة هائلة لنجل خامنئي
Iran Fears US Strike Could Reignite Protests and Imperil Regime's Hold on Power
Feb 2 · 3 news events · 47 articles
Reuters reported, citing current and former Iranian officials, that Iran's leadership is increasingly worried a US military strike could break its grip on power by driving an already enraged public back into the streets. The fear of renewed mass protests is shaping Iran's strategic calculations ahead of nuclear talks.
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حسابات إيران بين "ضغط الشارع" و"كلفة الضربة الأميركية"
Analysis: Iran Government Fears US Strike Could Trigger Regime Collapse and Renewed ProtestsFeb 2 · 4 news events · 56 articles
Reports indicate that Iran's current government has grown concerned that a US military strike could serve as a catalyst for its overthrow and a resurgence of mass protests. Analysts note that the 'wall of fear' among Iranians has fallen, increasing the regime's vulnerability.
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حسابات إيران بين "ضغط الشارع" و"كلفة الضربة الأميركية"
Analysts Warn Iran Leaders View Capitulation to US Demands as Greater Threat Than WarJan 28 · 6 news events · 1220 articles
Analysts assessed that Iran's leadership calculates that surrendering to US demands on uranium enrichment and ballistic missiles poses a greater existential threat to the regime's survival than the prospect of military conflict. The analysis highlights the structural difficulty of reaching a diplomatic breakthrough.
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Iran Ready To Resume Nuclear Talks With US, Prepared For 'War Or Diplomacy'
Rubio Says Iran Regime Weaker Than Ever, Hints at Preemptive Strike OptionJan 28 · 4 news events · 52 articles
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that Iran's regime is weaker than at any point in its history and declined to rule out a preemptive US military strike against Iran. Rubio also noted that 'no one knows' who would take over in Iran if Khamenei were removed.
News events (4)
'No One Knows Who Takes Over If Khamenei Is Removed': Rubio Hints At Preemptive Strike Against Iran
The White House's special envoy Steve Witkoff stated in a closed meeting that the Trump administration is seeking a nuclear agreement with Iran that imposes permanent, indefinite restrictions with no expiration date. Secretary of State Rubio separately described Iran's refusal to include ballistic missiles in negotiations as a 'major problem' ahead of the Geneva talks.
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واشنطن تصر على اتفاق نووي "غير محدود المدة" مع إيران
Rubio Says Iran Regime Weaker Than Ever, Hints at Preemptive Strike OptionJan 28 · 4 news events · 52 articles
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that Iran's regime is weaker than at any point in its history and declined to rule out a preemptive US military strike against Iran. Rubio also noted that 'no one knows' who would take over in Iran if Khamenei were removed.
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'No One Knows Who Takes Over If Khamenei Is Removed': Rubio Hints At Preemptive Strike Against Iran
Iran Rejects Missile Capabilities as Subject for Nuclear NegotiationsJan 30 · 4 news events · 77 articles
A senior adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader stated that Iran's missile capabilities represent a firm red line and are not subject to negotiation with the United States, complicating ongoing nuclear talks.
NYT Reports US-Iran Talks to Expand Scope to Missiles and Proxy MilitiasFeb 5 · 1 news events · 5 articles
The New York Times reported, citing officials, that the United States and Iran agreed to broaden the scope of their upcoming negotiations to include ballistic missiles and Iran-backed militias, beyond the nuclear file alone.
Turkish FM Fidan Warns Expanding Iran Talks to Ballistic Missiles Would Lead to WarFeb 12 · 1 news events · 19 articles
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan warned that broadening US-Iran nuclear negotiations to include Iran's ballistic missile program would risk triggering another war. Both Iran and the US were described as showing flexibility on the nuclear file, but missile capabilities remained a flashpoint.
News events (1)
فيدان: إيران وأمريكا تبديان مرونة للتوصل لاتفاق نووي
Ali Shamkhani, one of Supreme Leader Khamenei's most trusted advisers, was identified as a central figure managing Iran's response to escalating tensions with the United States. Shamkhani had previously survived an Israeli strike on his Tehran home during the June 2025 conflict.
Iran Appoints Shamkhani as Secretary of Defense Council Amid CrisisFeb 3 · 2 news events · 30 articles
Iranian President Pezeshkian issued a decree appointing Admiral Ali Shamkhani as secretary of the Defense Council, a significant leadership move during the ongoing US-Iran standoff.
Shamkhani Warns Any US Military Action Against Iran Will Be Treated as Start of WarJan 28 · 2 news events · 13 articles
Ali Shamkhani, senior adviser to Supreme Leader Khamenei, issued a sharp warning that any US military action against Iran—regardless of scale or source—would be considered the opening of a war and would trigger a response against Israel. Shamkhani dismissed the concept of a 'limited strike' as an illusion.
News events (2)
יועצו של חמינאי: כל פעולה צבאית מצד ארה"ב תיחשב לפתיחת מלחמה ותגרור תגובה נגד ישראל - וואלה חדשות
Shamkhani Says Iran Could Lower Enrichment Level But Will Not Transfer Uranium AbroadFeb 2 · 1 news events · 12 articles
Khamenei's political adviser Ali Shamkhani stated that Iran could reduce its uranium enrichment level from 60% to 20% through dilution, but firmly rejected any transfer of enriched uranium to foreign countries. The statement outlined Iran's negotiating parameters ahead of anticipated direct talks with the United States.
Activists reported that the death toll from Iran's crackdown on nationwide protests reached at least 7,002 people killed, with fears the figure could rise further. The figures, reported by AP, represent one of the deadliest suppressions of civil unrest in the Islamic Republic's history.
News events (5)
Deaths in Iran's crackdown on protests reach at least 7,000,...
Iran Releases Official List of 2,986 Killed in January ProtestsJan 29 · 2 news events · 93 articles
Iran's presidential office published a list identifying 2,986 people killed during the January 2025 unrest, describing all victims as 'children of this land' in an official acknowledgment of the protest death toll.
Iranian President Orders Investigation into January Protest EventsFeb 9 · 1 news events · 7 articles
Iranian President Pezeshkian ordered an investigation into the events of January to identify root causes and implement reforms, according to a senior presidential office official.
News events (1)
الرئيس الإيراني يأمر بالتحقيق في أحداث شهر يناير لتحديد الأسباب الجذرية وإصلاحها
Iran Faces New Wave of Protest Risk as Anger Over Crackdown SimmersFeb 6 · 2 news events · 18 articles
Reports indicate a new wave of anti-government protests is building in Iran, fueled by public outrage over the violent suppression of earlier demonstrations and the deaths of thousands. A journalist who filmed the crackdown described the atmosphere of fear and continued resistance among Iranians.
News events (2)
She filmed Iran's violent crackdown on protesters. Now she is...
The United States imposed new sanctions on Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni and other senior Iranian officials, accusing them of suppressing large-scale protests that challenged the clerical government in Tehran. The UK separately announced sanctions against approximately ten Iranian individuals including the interior minister.
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Rubio Revokes Travel Privileges for Iranian Officials over Crackdown
UK Imposes Sanctions on Iranian Officials Over Protest CrackdownJan 30 · 5 news events · 99 articles
The United Kingdom announced sweeping sanctions against ten Iranian individuals, including the Interior Minister and police commanders, holding them accountable for violence used to suppress peaceful protests. The announcement follows earlier ministerial commitments to hold Iranian authorities to account for human rights violations.
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Rubio Revokes Travel Privileges for Iranian Officials over Crackdown
Death Toll from Iran's Crackdown on January Protests Reaches at Least 7,000Jan 28 · 5 news events · 72 articles
Activists reported that the death toll from Iran's crackdown on nationwide protests reached at least 7,002 people killed, with fears the figure could rise further. The figures, reported by AP, represent one of the deadliest suppressions of civil unrest in the Islamic Republic's history.
News events (5)
Deaths in Iran's crackdown on protests reach at least 7,000,...
US Treasury Sanctions Iran-Linked Cryptocurrency Exchanges for First TimeJan 31 · 1 news events · 23 articles
The US Treasury Department sanctioned two cryptocurrency exchanges linked to Iran's financial system, marking the first time Washington has directly targeted Iran-connected crypto platforms as part of its maximum pressure campaign.
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US Treasury Sanctions Iran-Linked Crypto Exchanges for First Time
Oil Prices Hit Seven-Month Highs as US-Iran Tensions Escalate Before Talks
Jan 27 · 28 news events · 1072 articles
Oil prices reached seven-month highs as traders hedged against the risk of conflict between the US and Iran, with markets particularly focused on the Strait of Hormuz through which 20 million barrels of oil pass daily. Prices eased slightly ahead of a new round of nuclear negotiations.
News events (28)
Oil prices surge ahead of possible US attack on Iran
Oil Prices Fall for Second Weekly Drop as Iran Risks Recede and Oversupply Concerns GrowJan 29 · 3 news events · 199 articles
Oil prices were little changed on Friday and set for a second consecutive weekly decline as Iran-related risks appeared to ease ahead of nuclear talks and oversupply concerns weighed on markets. The easing of war risk premium reflected cautious optimism about diplomatic progress.
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النفط ينخفض قبل المحادثات النووية بين أمريكا وإيران
Oil Prices Surge Then Fall as Iran War Risk and Deal Signals CompeteFeb 1 · 3 news events · 217 articles
Oil prices rose sharply on fears of US-Iran military confrontation before falling more than 3% after Trump expressed hope for a deal with Iran, with markets whipsawing between war risk and diplomatic optimism. Gold also continued to rise amid broader geopolitical uncertainty.
Global Markets Fall as Iran War Risk Weighs on Stocks, Gold, and CurrencyFeb 16 · 7 news events · 188 articles
European and US stock markets declined as the probability of a US military strike on Iran increased, with Germany's DAX closing lower and New York equities also falling. Gold hovered near $5,000 per ounce and analysts warned the euro could fall to 1.16 against the dollar on further escalation.
News events (7)
Gold Steadies Near $5,000 as Iran Risks, Fed Outlook in Focus
Oil Prices Surge on US-Iran War Fears, Then Ease as Geneva Talks ResumeFeb 17 · 6 news events · 490 articles
Global oil prices spiked sharply, with Brent crude rising more than 7% over two days on fears of a US military strike on Iran, before easing somewhat as the second round of Geneva nuclear talks got underway.
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Oil prices surge ahead of possible US attack on Iran
Oil Prices Surge Over 4% as US-Iran Military Confrontation Risk Grows; Gold Also RisesFeb 19 · 3 news events · 19 articles
International oil prices surged more than 4%, with Brent crude rising to $70.35 per barrel, as fears of a US-Iran military clash intensified following Vice President Vance's remarks about Iran's failure to meet US demands. Gold prices also rose in tandem as investors sought safe-haven assets.
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Oil drama returns and South Africa may feel the heat
Oil Markets Brace for Volatility as US-Israeli Strikes Raise Supply Disruption FearsFeb 25 · 7 news events · 120 articles
Oil markets, closed for the weekend at the time of the strikes, were forecast to experience significant price swings when trading resumed, as the US-Israeli assault on Iran raised fears of major supply disruptions. Analysts highlighted Iran's energy sector and the potential for broader regional escalation as key risk factors.
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Oil Gains as Traders Brace for US-Iran Stress Heading to Weekend
Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi warned that Iran would exercise its right to self-defense if attacked on its soil, while Supreme Leader Khamenei threatened to send US warships to the 'bottom of the sea.' The warnings came as Washington deployed 16 ships and 40,000 troops to the Middle East, according to the Financial Times.
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Irán amenaza con bombardear bases y portaviones estadounidenses si es atacado
Iran's UN Mission Vows 'Unprecedented' Response to Any US Military StrikeJan 28 · 3 news events · 58 articles
Iran's mission to the United Nations warned that Tehran's response to any US military attack would be 'unprecedented,' following renewed threats from President Trump. Iranian officials across multiple channels echoed the warning, framing any US strike as an act of war.
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Iran vows "unprecedented" retaliation to US attack
Iran Threatens Strike on Heart of Tel Aviv in Response to Any US AttackJan 28 · 2 news events · 27 articles
Iranian officials warned that any US military strike against Iran—even a limited one—would trigger a retaliatory attack on the heart of Tel Aviv and against Israeli targets. The threats were issued across multiple Iranian official channels as US military pressure intensified.
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إيران تهدد باستهداف قلب تل أبيب وترمب يتوعد بالأسوأ
Iran's Military and Officials Declare Full Readiness to Repel Any AttackJan 28 · 5 news events · 50 articles
A former IRGC commander and Iranian parliamentary officials have publicly declared Iran is fully prepared to respond to any military aggression, with one official stating 'our finger is on the trigger.' Iranian leaders emphasized the country's independent missile and naval capabilities as key deterrents.
Shamkhani Warns Any US Military Action Against Iran Will Be Treated as Start of WarJan 28 · 2 news events · 13 articles
Ali Shamkhani, senior adviser to Supreme Leader Khamenei, issued a sharp warning that any US military action against Iran—regardless of scale or source—would be considered the opening of a war and would trigger a response against Israel. Shamkhani dismissed the concept of a 'limited strike' as an illusion.
News events (2)
יועצו של חמינאי: כל פעולה צבאית מצד ארה"ב תיחשב לפתיחת מלחמה ותגרור תגובה נגד ישראל - וואלה חדשות
IRGC States It Has Plans for All Scenarios as US Tensions EscalateJan 28 · 2 news events · 32 articles
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declared it has full control of the operational situation in Iran and has prepared contingency plans for every possible scenario amid rising tensions with the United States. The IRGC also criticized Washington's attempts at intimidation.
Iran Shifts Military Doctrine from Defensive to Offensive OperationsJan 29 · 2 news events · 31 articles
Iran's Chief of Staff announced a strategic shift in the country's military doctrine, moving from a purely defensive posture to an offensive approach based on rapid and wide-ranging operations. The announcement was framed as a clear message to Iran's enemies amid escalating US-Iran tensions.
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پیام تحول راهبردی دکترین نظامی ایران از دفاع به حمله
Iran Vows Immediate Military Response to Any Attack, Cites US Bases as TargetsJan 29 · 2 news events · 60 articles
Iran's military spokesperson declared on January 29 that Iran would respond immediately to any attack on its territory, reiterating that numerous US military bases across the region are within range of Iranian missiles.
Iran Warns of 'Crushing' Response to Any Threats as US-Iran Tensions RiseJan 29 · 4 news events · 91 articles
Iran's armed forces general staff warned on Tuesday that the country would respond forcefully to any threats, plots, or excessive demands, signaling continued defiance amid ongoing US military and diplomatic pressure.
Khamenei Warns US Attack on Iran Would Ignite Regional WarJan 30 · 17 news events · 903 articles
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned that any US military attack on Iran would trigger a broad regional war, as American military assets continued to build up in the region. Khamenei also accused Trump of fueling Iran's January unrest through public statements, calling the protests orchestrated by the US and Israel.
Khamenei Directly Attacks Trump, Warns US Aircraft Carrier Can Be SunkFeb 1 · 25 news events · 306 articles
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei responded directly to Trump's military threats, warning that the US aircraft carrier deployed in the Gulf could be sunk and declaring that Trump would not be able to destroy Iran. Analysts noted Khamenei targeted Trump's psychological pressure points in his remarks.
Iran Warns US Bases Will Be Targeted if Attacked, Declares Missile Program Non-NegotiableFeb 3 · 3 news events · 89 articles
Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi stated that Iran would strike US bases in the region if Washington attacked Iranian territory, and reiterated that Iran's ballistic missile program is not subject to negotiation. Iran's armed forces also issued a warning of a 'more forceful and wider' response to any threats.
Iranian Army Says Reaching US Bases in Region Is 'Easy,' Warns of Retaliation CapabilityFeb 5 · 2 news events · 21 articles
Iran's military spokesperson declared that reaching US bases in the Middle East is 'easy,' while a senior IRGC adviser sent a message to Hezbollah affirming Iran's readiness for confrontation. The statements came alongside Iran's deployment of new missile systems.
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مستشار خامنئي في رسالة لحزب الله: "مستعدون للمواجهة"
Iran Warns US Bases Are Legitimate Targets as Khamenei Threatens to Sink Aircraft CarriersFeb 17 · 9 news events · 109 articles
Supreme Leader Khamenei issued direct threats to the United States, warning that even the world's most powerful military could be struck and that US aircraft carriers in the Gulf could be sunk. Iran also formally notified the UN that US bases would be considered legitimate targets if attacked.
Iran announced a temporary partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz for military exercises, briefly restricting navigation in the strategically vital waterway. The IRGC naval commander also reiterated Iran's readiness to fully close the strait if circumstances required.
News events (34)
Iran will temporarily close part of the Strait of Hormuz
IRGC Navy Plans Live-Fire Drills in Strait of Hormuz as CENTCOM Issues WarningJan 27 · 8 news events · 122 articles
Iran's IRGC naval forces announced plans to conduct live-fire exercises in the Strait of Hormuz on February 1–2, while CENTCOM warned the drills posed risks to international shipping in the critical waterway.
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Iran vows to conduct live-fire military drills in critical sea...
Iran Reveals Underground Missile City with Anti-Ship Missiles Capable of Striking US WarshipsJan 30 · 1 news events · 41 articles
Iranian state television broadcast footage of a secret underground missile facility housing hundreds of Abu Mahdi anti-ship cruise missiles with a reported range of 1,000 kilometers, with IRGC Navy Commander Tangsiri personally presenting the facility.
CENTCOM Warns Iran Over IRGC Drills in Strait of Hormuz, Calls Exercises DangerousJan 30 · 3 news events · 91 articles
US Central Command issued a statement claiming that IRGC military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz posed dangers to international shipping, ahead of planned joint Iran-Russia-China naval drills in the area.
News events (3)
الجيش الأمريكي يحذّر إيران من التصعيد في مضيق هرمز
Iran Cancels Strait of Hormuz Live-Fire Exercises as Talks ProgressFeb 1 · 2 news events · 26 articles
Iran's Revolutionary Guards called off planned live-fire exercises in the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend, with reports indicating progress toward resuming direct US-Iran negotiations. Iranian officials confirmed movement toward talks while maintaining that military plans remained unchanged.
Iran Announces Temporary Closure of Parts of Strait of Hormuz for Naval ExercisesFeb 17 · 4 news events · 100 articles
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced it would temporarily close portions of the Strait of Hormuz for several hours for military exercises, raising concerns among global shipping operators about navigation safety.
Iran's IRGC naval forces announced plans to conduct live-fire exercises in the Strait of Hormuz on February 1–2, while CENTCOM warned the drills posed risks to international shipping in the critical waterway.
News events (8)
Iran vows to conduct live-fire military drills in critical sea...
Iran Threatens Naval Mining and Maritime Deterrence Against US Military PressureFeb 7 · 1 news events · 12 articles
Iranian strategic assessments highlighted by the Fars news agency indicate that Iran's naval deterrence options, including sea mining described as a 'silent killer,' would be activated in the event of escalating military threats. The warnings were framed as a message to the Trump administration.
News events (1)
"تفخيخ البحر".. إيران تلوح بـ"القاتل الصامت" بوجه ترامب
Iran's IRGC Reveals Naval Mining Tactics as Warning to US Warships in Persian GulfFeb 7 · 1 news events · 5 articles
Iran's navy unveiled new mine-laying tactics and advanced naval mines as an operational warning to US carrier groups operating in the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz. The disclosure was framed as a deterrent signal amid escalating US-Iran tensions.
Iran Fires Missiles into Strait of Hormuz During Military ExerciseFeb 15 · 1 news events · 27 articles
Iran's Tasnim state news agency reported that the Iranian army fired missiles into the Strait of Hormuz from land and coastal positions as part of a military exercise. The drill took place amid ongoing nuclear negotiations and heightened US-Iran tensions.
News events (1)
Irán rakétákkal lőtte a világ legfontosabb olajútvonalát
CENTCOM Warns Iran Over IRGC Drills in Strait of Hormuz, Calls Exercises DangerousJan 30 · 3 news events · 91 articles
US Central Command issued a statement claiming that IRGC military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz posed dangers to international shipping, ahead of planned joint Iran-Russia-China naval drills in the area.
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الجيش الأمريكي يحذّر إيران من التصعيد في مضيق هرمز
Iranian President Pezeshkian ordered the start of nuclear talks with the United States, with Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi expected to meet US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff in Istanbul in the coming days. Witkoff traveled to Israel first to coordinate with Netanyahu before the anticipated talks, with Oman also reported as a possible venue.
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ایران و آمریکا در تدارک مذاکرات مستقیم در استانبول
Turkey Offers to Mediate Between US and Iran as Araqchi Visits AnkaraJan 29 · 1 news events · 8 articles
Turkey offered to serve as a mediator between the United States and Iran as Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi traveled to Ankara for diplomatic consultations. The move reflects regional efforts to prevent military escalation as US-Iran tensions remain at critical levels.
News events (1)
Turquia oferece-se para a função de mediação entre EUA e Irão
Araqchi Visits Turkey, Meets Erdogan to Coordinate on US Pressure and Regional ChallengesJan 30 · 2 news events · 51 articles
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi met with Turkish President Erdogan on January 30, emphasizing the need for intensified Iran-Turkey consultations in response to US demands and regional challenges.
Pezeshkian Orders Start of Nuclear Negotiations with USJan 30 · 3 news events · 254 articles
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian ordered Iranian officials to begin the process of nuclear negotiations with the United States, following requests from regional friendly nations to pursue de-escalation.
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Tổng thống Iran ra lệnh khởi động đàm phán hạt nhân với Mỹ
Iranian President Pezeshkian Authorizes Foreign Minister Araqchi to Negotiate Directly with USJan 31 · 5 news events · 61 articles
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian announced he has tasked Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi to represent Tehran in direct nuclear negotiations with the United States, describing the mandate as seeking 'fair and balanced talks.' The move marks a significant public signal from Tehran of willingness to engage diplomatically amid escalating military tensions.
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بزشكيان يكلف عراقجي تمثيل طهران في "مفاوضات إسطنبول"
US Signals Openness to Direct Meeting with Iran to Discuss Nuclear DealFeb 1 · 2 news events · 46 articles
The Trump administration communicated through multiple channels that it is open to a direct meeting with Iran to negotiate a deal, with reports emerging of a potential encounter in Ankara.
Iran's Tasnim News Agency issued a correction to its earlier report on the possibility of Iran-US negotiations beginning in the coming days, following further investigation that cast doubt on the immediacy of the talks. The correction reflected ongoing uncertainty about the status and timing of diplomatic contacts.
Trump Expresses Hope for Iran Deal While Repeating Military Threats
Jan 26 · 17 news events · 1309 articles
US President Donald Trump said he hoped to reach an agreement with Iran, stating that Tehran was 'talking seriously,' while simultaneously warning of 'very bad things' if no deal was reached. Trump's dual messaging of diplomatic openness and military threat continued to define the US approach ahead of anticipated talks.
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U.S. tells Iran it is ready to meet and negotiate a deal
Trump Says Iran Deal Possible Within a Month, Warns of 'Very Traumatizing' Consequences If No AgreementJan 28 · 13 news events · 1269 articles
President Trump stated that a nuclear deal with Iran could be reached within a month and that the US 'must' reach an agreement, while warning of 'very traumatizing' and catastrophic consequences if talks fail. Trump expressed confidence in the negotiations while keeping pressure on Tehran.
Trump Publicly Considers Limited Military Strike on Iran as US Planning AdvancesJan 29 · 10 news events · 149 articles
President Trump told reporters he is considering a limited military strike on Iran, while Reuters reported the US is in advanced planning stages for military action. Defense Secretary Hegseth reiterated all options remain on the table ahead of scheduled nuclear talks in Geneva.
News events (10)
وزير الحرب الأمريكي: جميع الخيارات مطروحة بشأن إيران
WSJ: Trump Orders Preparation of Rapid Strike Scenarios Against Iran to Avoid Prolonged WarJan 30 · 5 news events · 31 articles
The Wall Street Journal reported that President Trump has ordered military planners to prepare scenarios for a swift strike on Iran designed to avoid a protracted conflict in the Middle East.
Trump Considers 'Limited Strike' on Iran; Multiple Military Options Presented Including Killing KhameneiJan 30 · 7 news events · 275 articles
Reports indicate President Trump has been presented with multiple military options against Iran, including a scenario involving the killing of Supreme Leader Khamenei, as well as a more limited strike option. Trump publicly stated he is considering a limited military strike while urging Iran to negotiate a 'fair deal.'
Trump Signals Readiness for Iran Deal While Keeping Military Option OpenFeb 1 · 18 news events · 1370 articles
President Trump stated he is prepared to reach an agreement with Tehran on its nuclear program but again left open the possibility of military action if diplomacy fails. Reports indicate the US is weighing a phased military strategy beginning with limited strikes if talks collapse.
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Iran president confirms talks with US after Trump's threats | THE DAILY TRIBUNE | KINGDOM OF BAHRAIN
Trump Warns Iran of 'Bad Things' if No Deal Reached, Says Khamenei 'Should Be Very Worried'Feb 2 · 3 news events · 85 articles
US President Donald Trump issued fresh warnings to Iran ahead of the Oman nuclear talks, saying 'bad things' would happen if no agreement was reached and that Iran's Supreme Leader should be 'very worried.' Trump also referenced large US naval vessels heading toward the region.
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"Сделаем очень плохие вещи": Трамп пригрозил Ирану
Trump Warns Iran: 'Make a Deal Now or Face Something Very Hard'Feb 7 · 1 news events · 119 articles
President Donald Trump issued a stark ultimatum to Iran, stating he preferred a diplomatic agreement but was prepared to take severe measures if Tehran refused to negotiate. The warning came amid escalating military posturing in the region.
Trump Says Rejecting Iran Deal Would Be 'Stupid Move,' Reaffirms No Nuclear Weapons or MissilesFeb 10 · 2 news events · 23 articles
President Trump stated that Iran rejecting a nuclear agreement would be a 'stupid move,' while reaffirming that Iran would not be permitted to possess nuclear weapons or ballistic missiles. Trump indicated he wants a deal but warned of severe consequences if none is reached.
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ترامب: رفض إيران للاتفاق "خطوة غبية" | المصري اليوم
Trump Endorses Iran Regime Change, Calls It 'Best Thing That Could Happen'Feb 10 · 4 news events · 64 articles
President Trump openly backed a political transition in Iran, stating that regime change would be the best possible outcome, while continuing to press Tehran to accept a new nuclear agreement. The remarks came amid ongoing diplomatic and military pressure on the Islamic Republic.
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Trump Calls For Iranian Regime Change As Tehran Revamps Missile Arsenal
Iran Warns Neighboring Countries Against Allowing Use of Their Territory for US-Israeli Strikes
Jan 25 · 1 news events · 3 articles
Iran conveyed a message to neighboring countries warning that any nation allowing its airspace, land, or territorial waters to be used against Iran would be considered a hostile party. The warning reflects Tehran's effort to deter regional cooperation with a potential US-Israeli military operation.
News events (1)
پیغام مهم ایران به کشورهای همسایه درباره حمله آمریکا و اسرائیل
Gulf Allies Fear Being Caught in US-Iran Crossfire as Strike Preparations AdvanceFeb 13 · 2 news events · 15 articles
American allies in the Gulf expressed growing alarm that they would be on the front lines of Iranian retaliation in the event of US or Israeli strikes, despite relying on US security guarantees. The concerns reflected the difficult position of Gulf states caught between their US alliance and geographic vulnerability to Iranian counterattacks.
News events (2)
Napad na Iran bi otvorio pandorinu kutiju: Američki saveznici strahuju
Gulf Arab States Fear Being Caught in US-Iran Conflict as Military Buildup IntensifiesFeb 21 · 2 news events · 13 articles
Arab Gulf states hosting US military bases expressed growing anxiety over the prospect of being drawn into a US-Iran conflict, fearing Iranian retaliation against their territory. Reports indicated Saudi Arabia and other Gulf neighbors viewed armed conflict as increasingly likely compared to a diplomatic settlement.
Turkey Arrests Six Suspected of Spying for Iran, Including Surveillance of Incirlik BaseJan 28 · 2 news events · 24 articles
Turkish security forces arrested six suspects, including an Iranian national, on charges of conducting political and military espionage on behalf of Iranian intelligence across five Turkish provinces. Reports indicated the spy network had targeted Incirlik Air Base, a key NATO installation.
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Turkey Arrests Six Suspected of Espionage for Iran, State Broadcaster Says
European Union foreign ministers voted on January 29 to officially list Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization, citing its role in the violent crackdown on domestic protests. Iran condemned the decision as a 'major strategic mistake' and threatened retaliatory measures against EU member states.
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EU designates Iran's Revolutionary Guards a terrorist organisation
France Backs EU Terrorist Designation of IRGC as EU Foreign Ministers Meet in BrusselsJan 27 · 5 news events · 287 articles
France announced its support for listing Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization under EU law, as EU foreign ministers convened in Brussels to discuss Iran policy and new sanctions. The EU subsequently reached consensus on the IRGC designation.
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EU designates Iran's Revolutionary Guards a terrorist organisation
Iran Expands IRGC Terrorist Designation Retaliation to All EU MilitariesJan 28 · 42 news events · 951 articles
Iran's parliament speaker announced that the Islamic Republic now considers all European Union military forces to be terrorist organizations, escalating its response to the EU's designation of the IRGC as a terrorist group. Iran also summoned European ambassadors in Tehran to formally protest the designation.
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Iran designates EU armies 'terrorist groups' in retaliatory move
EU Imposes New Sanctions on Iran Over Human Rights Violations and Drone/Missile Support for RussiaJan 29 · 5 news events · 51 articles
EU foreign ministers approved new restrictive measures against Iran targeting individuals and organizations involved in human rights abuses, drone production, and ballistic missile development. The sanctions package was adopted in response to Iran's violent crackdown on protesters and its military support for Russia.
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Proteste im Iran: EU verhängt neue Sanktionen gegen den Iran
Iranian Officials and Clerics Condemn EU Designation of IRGC as Terrorist OrganizationJan 29 · 17 news events · 191 articles
Iranian Friday prayer leaders, judiciary chief, parliament speaker Larijani, and the Iranian cabinet issued statements condemning the EU's designation of the IRGC as a terrorist organization, calling it a political move and warning of consequences. Iran's army pledged to stand firmly beside the IRGC in response.
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لاریجانی: ارتش کشورهای اروپایی تروریستی محسوب میشوند
Iran Summons EU Ambassadors Over IRGC Terrorist Designation, Shifts Defense Doctrine to 'Offensive'Jan 30 · 7 news events · 207 articles
Iran summoned ambassadors of all EU member states with diplomatic missions in Tehran to protest the European Union's designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization. Iran also announced a shift in its defense doctrine from defensive to offensive in response to the designation.
Iran Designates EU Naval and Air Forces as Terrorist OrganizationsFeb 2 · 7 news events · 105 articles
Iran's Foreign Ministry announced it has designated the naval and air forces of all EU member states as terrorist organizations, a retaliatory diplomatic move amid escalating US-Iran tensions. The designation marks a significant escalation in Iran-EU relations as military confrontation looms.
Ukraine officially designated Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization, with President Zelensky emphasizing that all terrorists deserve equal condemnation. Ukraine expressed solidarity with the Iranian people in their struggle for freedom.
Iran Summons EU Ambassadors, Bacqai Confirms Diplomatic Protest Over IRGC DesignationFeb 2 · 1 news events · 20 articles
Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Ismail Baghaei confirmed that Iran had summoned ambassadors of all European countries in response to the EU's designation of the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Iran accused the EU of taking the step to appease Israel.
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خواستار باز ماندن کانالهای گفتوگو با ایران هستیم
Reza Pahlavi Calls for 'Day of Action' on February 14, Urges International Military Intervention
Jan 24 · 8 news events · 141 articles
Iranian Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi called for mass demonstrations on February 14 and urged Western governments and the international community to support military intervention to help Iranians overthrow the Islamic Republic. Pahlavi addressed European leaders at the Munich Security Conference, pressing for active backing of regime change.
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El heredero de la vieja monarquía absolutista de Irán toma posiciones
Zelensky Meets Reza Pahlavi, Expresses Support for Iranian People's Democratic AspirationsFeb 12 · 4 news events · 36 articles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met with Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of the former Shah of Iran, on the sidelines of an international gathering. Zelensky expressed Ukraine's support for the Iranian people's struggle for their future and highlighted the dangers of Iran-Russia cooperation.
White House Reportedly Drafting Post-Regime Transition Plans for Iran with Iranian-American CommunityFeb 6 · 1 news events · 6 articles
US media reports revealed that the White House has been working to assemble prominent Iranian-American figures to develop a vision for a post-regime transition in Iran. The reports suggest contingency planning for governance scenarios beyond the current Islamic Republic.
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تقارير أمريكية : خطط سرية وسيناريوهات بديلة لحكم إيران
Reza Pahlavi Calls US-Israeli Strikes 'Humanitarian,' Says Return to Streets Is NearFeb 14 · 5 news events · 134 articles
Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of the last Shah of Iran, described the US-Israeli military operation as 'humanitarian' and declared that 'the time to return to the streets is near.' Pahlavi separately stated that 'final victory is approaching,' signaling hopes for regime change.
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تاکید شاهزاده رضا پهلوی بر لزوم کمک ترامپ به مردم ایران
The USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald R. Ford were simultaneously deployed in the Mediterranean as part of a major US military buildup signaling readiness for potential strikes on Iran. The dual carrier presence was described as one of the strongest US regional deployments in recent years.
US Deploys Over 150 Combat Aircraft Near Iran Amid Strike PreparationsJan 24 · 15 news events · 404 articles
The United States relocated more than 150 aircraft to bases in Europe and the Middle East as part of a military buildup near Iran. The deployment, reported by multiple international outlets, signals intensifying preparations for potential military action.
US Forces Near Iran Placed on Heightened Readiness Pending Trump DecisionJan 29 · 6 news events · 64 articles
US military forces positioned around Iran raised their readiness levels and took preparatory steps for a possible strike, awaiting a final decision from President Trump. Reports indicated US forces could be ready to strike as early as the weekend, though Trump had not yet given the order.
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مسؤولون أميركيون: الوجود الحالي يسمح بحرب تمتد لأسابيع
Trump Confirms Second Aircraft Carrier Deploying to Middle East 'Very Soon'Feb 10 · 2 news events · 76 articles
President Trump confirmed that a second US aircraft carrier would depart for the Middle East 'very soon,' adding to the growing US military presence in the region amid escalating tensions with Iran. The announcement came alongside reports of US military preparations for potentially prolonged operations against Iran.
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خبرگاه؛ ترامپ: ممکن است یک ناو دیگر هم به منطقه بفرستیم
Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei did not attend a key annual military gathering, marking the first time in 37 years he has skipped the event. The absence fueled speculation about his health and ability to govern amid mounting pressures.
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Khamenei skips key military meet for first time in 37 years | THE DAILY TRIBUNE | KINGDOM OF BAHRAIN
Khamenei Makes Public Appearance Amid Rumors He Was Hiding in Underground BunkerJan 31 · 1 news events · 7 articles
Iranian media published photographs of Supreme Leader Khamenei appearing publicly for the first time since the violent crackdown on protests, countering rumors that he had retreated to an underground shelter in Tehran.
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Ιράν: Δημόσια εμφάνιση Χαμενεΐ μετά τις φήμες ότι κρύβεται σε υπόγειο καταφύγιο στην Τεχεράνη
Khamenei Addresses Iranian People in Video Message, Praises Revolution Anniversary TurnoutFeb 12 · 2 news events · 11 articles
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei delivered a televised video message to the Iranian people, emphasizing the need for national unity and praising the public's participation in marches marking the anniversary of the Islamic Revolution. Khamenei described the turnout as a great achievement.
Khamenei Reportedly Prepares Succession Instructions and Names Four Potential SuccessorsJan 24 · 3 news events · 25 articles
The New York Times reported that Supreme Leader Khamenei has passed instructions to close associates on how to proceed in the event of his assassination, and has reportedly designated four potential successors. The report highlights Iranian leadership preparations for a worst-case strike scenario.
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Buzz on Khamenei's heir, bunker hideout as US armada inches closer to Iran
Report: Attempted Soft Coup Against Khamenei Uncovered Before January ProtestsFeb 19 · 1 news events · 22 articles
Saudi-owned Al Arabiya reported that an alleged internal soft coup attempt against Supreme Leader Khamenei was uncovered prior to the peak of nationwide protests in Iran in January. The report added to existing concerns about internal fractures within the Iranian leadership.
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Report: Attempted 'soft coup' against Khamenei uncovered